Fig. 4.

Impacts of the probability of detection on the effectiveness of mass vaccination strategies. (A) The time to control an outbreak (interval between starting vaccination and 6 months with no detected cases) under the proactive and react-without-repeat strategies. In A and B, median values are lines and hatched areas correspond to 95% CIs. (B) The effort required to control an outbreak measured as the number of blocks vaccinated. (C). The probability of elimination during the 2-year monitoring period after suspension of control efforts. See Table 2 for model set up and parameters, and Table S1 for vaccination strategy descriptions.