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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Transplant. 2013 May 24;13(7):1840–1849. doi: 10.1111/ajt.12269

Table 4. Multivariable Cox Model of risk factors for technical failure.

Factors identified in the univariable analysis were incorporated in a full multivariable Cox Model and verified in a reduced model. The predictive factors were assembled in a Composite Risk Model incorporating donor age, donor BMI, donor Cr, and preservation time and adjusted for surgical approach. Transplants with no risk factors were compared to those with one, two, or three risk factors. For comparison the pDRI risk categories were similarly modeled.

Full Model

Hazard Ratio LCL UCL p value

SPK Transplant 1.12 0.65 1.94 0.683
Bladder Drainage 0.52 0.30 0.88 0.015
Donor Age >50 2.05 1.01 4.18 0.047
Preservation Time >20 hours 2.07 1.31 3.29 0.002
Donor BMI ≥30 1.60 0.95 2.68 0.076
Cause of Death - Stroke 0.78 0.43 1.41 0.415
Cause of Death - Head Trauma 0.76 0.43 1.34 0.344
Social History - Alcohol Abuse 1.41 0.67 2.96 0.365
Elevated Creatinine (≥ 2.5) 3.10 1.21 7.93 0.018
Elevated Amylase (≥ 500) 1.50 0.54 4.16 0.438
Recipient BMI >30 1.40 0.79 2.49 0.251
Recpient Smoking History 0.97 0.48 1.97 0.940
Campath Induction 0.88 0.47 1.66 0.692

Reduced Model

Hazard Ratio LCL UCL p value

Bladder Drainage 0.54 0.36 0.80 0.002
Donor Age >50 1.73 0.93 3.19 0.082
Preservation Time >20 hours 2.17 1.45 3.23 <0.001
Donor BMI ≥30 1.87 1.21 2.88 0.005
Elevated Creatinine (≥ 2.5) 3.16 1.37 7.26 0.007

Composite Model

Hazard Ratio LCL UCL p value

Bladder Drainage 0.61 0.42 0.88 0.009
Risk Factors
      No Risk Factors (n = 519) 1.00
      1 Risk Factor (n = 377) 1.35 0.80 1.91 0.346
      2 Risk Factors (n = 87) 3.65 2.20 6.06 < 0.001
      3 Risk Factors (n= 14) 7.66 3.26 18.04 < 0.001

pDRI Model

Hazard Ratio LCL UCL p value

Bladder Drainage 0.67 0.46 0.97 0.036
pDRI Quintiles
      First 1.00
      Second 1.01 0.46 2.23 0.980
      Third 1.56 0.70 3.50 0.276
      Fourth 2.53 1.16 5.48 0.019
      Fifth 3.15 1.39 7.11 0.006