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. 2013 May 21;56(8):1716–1725. doi: 10.1007/s00125-013-2928-7

Table 4.

Probability of referable disease and referable background retinopathy or proliferative retinopathy at screening intervals of 1 or 2 years, by sex, diabetes duration and current retinopathy grade in those with type 2 diabetes

Current grading Type 2 diabetes duration (years) Men Women
Probability of any referable disease (%) Probability of referable retinopathy (%) Probability of any referable disease (%) Probability of referable retinopathy (%)
1 year interval 2 year interval 1 year interval 2 year interval 1 year interval 2 year interval 1 year interval 2 year interval
No visible retinopathy 0 0.15 0.40 0.03 0.07 0.15 0.37 0.03 0.06
5 0.21 0.67 0.04 0.11 0.24 0.70 0.04 0.12
10 0.27 0.91 0.05 0.16 0.31 1.03 0.05 0.18
15 0.30 1.10 0.05 0.19 0.37 1.31 0.06 0.22
Mild background retinopathy 0 2.79 4.43 0.47 0.75 2.52 5.59 0.43 0.63
5 4.08 7.41 0.69 1.26 4.06 6.96 0.69 1.19
10 5.10 10.20 0.87 1.74 5.43 10.40 0.93 1.78
15 5.80 12.20 0.99 2.08 6.43 13.20 1.09 2.25

Referable disease: referable maculopathy, referable background retinopathy and proliferative retinopathy; referable retinopathy: referable background retinopathy and proliferative retinopathy