Table 3. Sex-specific, age- and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs for mortality from liver cancer according to body mass index (BMI) categories at age 20 years (JACC study, 1988–2009).
BMI at age 20 (kg/m2) |
P for trenda |
P for overall trendb |
|||||
<18.5 | 18.5–20.9 | 21.0–22.9 | 23.0–24.9 | ≥25.0 | |||
Men | |||||||
No. at risk | 1805 | 9180 | 10 300 | 6372 | 3361 | ||
No. of person-years | 28 079 | 148 241 | 164 069 | 97 587 | 48 768 | ||
No. of deaths | 14 | 91 | 115 | 75 | 43 | ||
Crude death ratec | 50 | 61 | 70 | 77 | 88 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 0.78 (0.45–1.36) | 0.99 (0.75–1.30) | 1 | 0.96 (0.72–1.29) | 1.02 (0.72–1.45) | 0.92 | 0.65 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 0.74 (0.42–1.29) | 0.89 (0.68–1.18) | 1 | 0.92 (0.69–1.24) | 0.91 (0.64–1.31) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
Men with liver disease | |||||||
No. at risk | 170 | 735 | 785 | 474 | 274 | ||
No. of person-years | 2249 | 10 227 | 11 072 | 6248 | 3474 | ||
No. of deaths | 8 | 34 | 48 | 31 | 17 | ||
Crude death ratec | 356 | 332 | 434 | 496 | 489 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 0.86 (0.41–1.82) | 0.83 (0.53–1.28) | 1 | 1.02 (0.65–1.61) | 0.97 (0.55–1.69) | 0.98 | 0.49 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 0.91 (0.42–1.97) | 0.68 (0.43–1.07) | 1 | 0.98 (0.61–1.56) | 0.75 (0.41–1.35) | 0.36 | 0.68 |
Men without liver disease | |||||||
No. at risk | 1456 | 7667 | 8625 | 5294 | 2751 | ||
No. of person-years | 23 539 | 127 328 | 141 043 | 83 287 | 40 864 | ||
No. of deaths | 4 | 48 | 57 | 33 | 22 | ||
Crude death ratec | 17 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 54 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 0.78 (0.45–1.36) | 0.99 (0.75–1.30) | 1 | 0.96 (0.72–1.29) | 1.02 (0.72–1.45) | 0.85 | 0.61 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 0.50 (0.18–1.39) | 1.05 (0.71–1.54) | 1 | 0.81 (0.53–1.25) | 0.98 (0.60–1.62) | 0.76 | 0.99 |
Women | |||||||
No. at risk | 4061 | 12 936 | 11 996 | 7364 | 5098 | ||
No. of person-years | 64 811 | 214 456 | 199 655 | 122 099 | 81 143 | ||
No. of deaths | 20 | 49 | 58 | 37 | 25 | ||
Crude death ratec | 31 | 23 | 29 | 30 | 31 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 1.23 (0.74–2.05) | 0.90 (0.61–1.32) | 1 | 0.95 (0.63–1.43) | 0.77 (0.48–1.23) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 0.98 (0.58–1.64) | 0.85 (0.58–1.25) | 1 | 0.91 (0.60–1.38) | 0.73 (0.45–1.18) | 0.18 | 0.49 |
Women with liver disease | |||||||
No. at risk | 289 | 721 | 582 | 410 | 302 | ||
No. of person-years | 3746 | 10 014 | 8348 | 6049 | 4192 | ||
No. of deaths | 11 | 17 | 28 | 13 | 14 | ||
Crude death ratec | 294 | 170 | 335 | 215 | 334 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 1.04 (0.52–2.10) | 0.56 (0.31–1.02) | 1 | 0.64 (0.33–1.24) | 0.84 (0.44–1.60) | 0.60 | 0.99 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 0.91 (0.43–1.94) | 0.53 (0.29–1.00) | 1 | 0.61 (0.31–1.21) | 0.75 (0.37–1.50) | 0.32 | 0.98 |
Women without liver disease | |||||||
No. at risk | 3337 | 11 081 | 10 396 | 6311 | 4253 | ||
No. of person-years | 55 240 | 188 811 | 176 982 | 106 855 | 69 299 | ||
No. of deaths | 9 | 27 | 25 | 20 | 9 | ||
Crude death ratec | 16 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 13 | ||
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) | 1.23 (0.74–2.05) | 0.90 (0.61–1.32) | 1 | 0.95 (0.63–1.43) | 0.77 (0.48–1.23) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d | 1.28 (0.59–2.76) | 1.24 (0.72–2.15) | 1 | 1.22 (0.68–2.21) | 0.62 (0.29–1.34) | 0.30 | 0.13 |
aTest for trend refers to a baseline BMI of ≥21.0 kg/m2.
bTest for overall trend refers to a baseline BMI of <18.5 kg/m2.
cMortality rate is expressed as rate per 100 000 person-years.
dMultivariable adjustment: age, smoking status, ethanol consumption, hours of walking, hours of exercise, frequencies of coffee and fish intake, education level, area of residence, histories of diabetes mellitus, gallbladder disease, blood transfusion, and positive history of liver disease with or without present treatment.