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. 2013 May 5;23(3):219–226. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20120199

Table 3. Sex-specific, age- and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs for mortality from liver cancer according to body mass index (BMI) categories at age 20 years (JACC study, 1988–2009).

  BMI at age 20 (kg/m2) P for
trenda
P for overall
trendb

<18.5 18.5–20.9 21.0–22.9 23.0–24.9 ≥25.0
Men              
No. at risk 1805 9180 10 300 6372 3361    
No. of person-years 28 079 148 241 164 069 97 587 48 768    
No. of deaths 14 91 115 75 43    
Crude death ratec 50 61 70 77 88    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.78 (0.45–1.36) 0.99 (0.75–1.30) 1 0.96 (0.72–1.29) 1.02 (0.72–1.45) 0.92 0.65
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 0.74 (0.42–1.29) 0.89 (0.68–1.18) 1 0.92 (0.69–1.24) 0.91 (0.64–1.31) 0.54 0.66
Men with liver disease              
No. at risk 170 735 785 474 274    
No. of person-years 2249 10 227 11 072 6248 3474    
No. of deaths 8 34 48 31 17    
Crude death ratec 356 332 434 496 489    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.86 (0.41–1.82) 0.83 (0.53–1.28) 1 1.02 (0.65–1.61) 0.97 (0.55–1.69) 0.98 0.49
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 0.91 (0.42–1.97) 0.68 (0.43–1.07) 1 0.98 (0.61–1.56) 0.75 (0.41–1.35) 0.36 0.68
Men without liver disease              
No. at risk 1456 7667 8625 5294 2751    
No. of person-years 23 539 127 328 141 043 83 287 40 864    
No. of deaths 4 48 57 33 22    
Crude death ratec 17 38 40 40 54    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 0.78 (0.45–1.36) 0.99 (0.75–1.30) 1 0.96 (0.72–1.29) 1.02 (0.72–1.45) 0.85 0.61
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 0.50 (0.18–1.39) 1.05 (0.71–1.54) 1 0.81 (0.53–1.25) 0.98 (0.60–1.62) 0.76 0.99
Women              
No. at risk 4061 12 936 11 996 7364 5098    
No. of person-years 64 811 214 456 199 655 122 099 81 143    
No. of deaths 20 49 58 37 25    
Crude death ratec 31 23 29 30 31    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 1.23 (0.74–2.05) 0.90 (0.61–1.32) 1 0.95 (0.63–1.43) 0.77 (0.48–1.23) 0.28 0.25
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 0.98 (0.58–1.64) 0.85 (0.58–1.25) 1 0.91 (0.60–1.38) 0.73 (0.45–1.18) 0.18 0.49
Women with liver disease              
No. at risk 289 721 582 410 302    
No. of person-years 3746 10 014 8348 6049 4192    
No. of deaths 11 17 28 13 14    
Crude death ratec 294 170 335 215 334    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 1.04 (0.52–2.10) 0.56 (0.31–1.02) 1 0.64 (0.33–1.24) 0.84 (0.44–1.60) 0.60 0.99
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 0.91 (0.43–1.94) 0.53 (0.29–1.00) 1 0.61 (0.31–1.21) 0.75 (0.37–1.50) 0.32 0.98
Women without liver disease              
No. at risk 3337 11 081 10 396 6311 4253    
No. of person-years 55 240 188 811 176 982 106 855 69 299    
No. of deaths 9 27 25 20 9    
Crude death ratec 16 14 14 19 13    
Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) 1.23 (0.74–2.05) 0.90 (0.61–1.32) 1 0.95 (0.63–1.43) 0.77 (0.48–1.23) 0.25 0.14
Multivariable HR (95% CI)d 1.28 (0.59–2.76) 1.24 (0.72–2.15) 1 1.22 (0.68–2.21) 0.62 (0.29–1.34) 0.30 0.13

aTest for trend refers to a baseline BMI of ≥21.0 kg/m2.

bTest for overall trend refers to a baseline BMI of <18.5 kg/m2.

cMortality rate is expressed as rate per 100 000 person-years.

dMultivariable adjustment: age, smoking status, ethanol consumption, hours of walking, hours of exercise, frequencies of coffee and fish intake, education level, area of residence, histories of diabetes mellitus, gallbladder disease, blood transfusion, and positive history of liver disease with or without present treatment.