Table 4. Parameter estimates (mean and 95% credible interval) for our two models (see text) fitted to different data sets (2007, 2008), and the mortality estimates (mean and range of the total number of collisions at all turbines during n nights) based both on the model (second last column), and on the conventional “corrected count” method.
data set and model | n nights | Intercept α0 | acousticactivity α1 | wind velocity α2 | windvelocity2 α3 | mortality estimate from model | correctedcount |
2007, 1-level observation model | 473 | −2.7 (−3.2, −2.1) | 0.4 (0.1, 0.7) | −0.2 (−0.9, 0.3) | −0.2 (−0.6, 0.2) | 37 (28–49) | 38 (27–59) |
2007, 3-level observation model | 473 | −2.3 (−2.9, −1.7) | 0.5 (0.1, 0.9) | 0.4 (−0.4, 1.3) | −0.7 (−2.0, 0) | 38 (29–49) | 38 (27–59) |
2008, 1-level observation model | 1225 | −3.5 (−4.1, −3.0) | 0.4 (0.1, 0.7) | −1.8 (−3.0, −0.8) | −0.8 (−1.6, −0.3) | 56 (46–70) | 57 (42–89) |
2008,3-level observation model | 1225 | −4.1 (−5.3, −3.3) | 0.5 (0.2, 0.8) | −2.9 (−5.6, −1.2) | −1.3 (−2.6, −0.4) | 57 (46–71) | 57 (42–89) |