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. 2012 Jul 4;35(4):1433–1444. doi: 10.1007/s11357-012-9443-5

Table 2.

Five-year hazard ratios and absolute risks of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, depending on cardiovascular history adjusted for sex (n = 570)

CVD history p for trend HR major versus minor
None (n = 270) Minor (n = 128) Major (n = 172)
Morbidity and mortality Fatal and nonfatal MI HR 1 1.7 (0.9–3.1) 2.6 (1.6–4.5) 0.001 1.8 (0.97–3.2)
No. of events 25 (9.3) 17 (13.3) 34 (19.8)
Incidence rate 23 (15–33) 37 (23–58) 65 (47–90)
Fatal and nonfatal stroke HR 1 1.7 (0.9–3.2) 3.4 (2.0–5.8) <0.001 2.0 (1.1–3.6)
No. of events 23 (8.5) 16 (12.5) 37 (21.5)
Incidence rate 20 (14–30) 35 (21–56) 69 (51–94)
CV events or CV mortalitya HR 1 1.6 (1.1–2.4) 2.7 (2.0–3.9) <0.001 1.8 (1.2–2.7)
No. of events 61 (22.6) 39 (30.5) 81 (47.1)
Incident rate 56 (44–72) 88 (65–118) 164 (144–199)
Mortality Cardiovascular HR 1 2.0 (1.1–3.4) 3.7 (2.3–5.8) <0.001 1.9 (1.2–3.1)
No. of events 29 (10.7) 23 (18.0) 54 (31.4)
Incidence rate 25 (18–36) 48 (32–71) 95 (74–122)
Noncardiovascular HR 1 1.5 (1.03–2.3) 1.7 (1.2–2.5) 0.001 1.1 (0.7–1.7)
No. of events 66 (24.4) 40 (31.3) 55 (32.0)
Incidence rate 57 (54–72) 83 (62–111) 97 (75–124)
All-cause HR 1 1.7 (1.2–2.3) 2.3 (1.7–3.1) <0.001 1.4 (1.02–1.9)
No. of events 95 (35.2) 63 (49.2) 109 (63.4)
Incidence rate 82 (68–100) 131 (104–164) 193 (162–227)

Data are presented as HR with corresponding 95 % CIs, absolute numbers of events (%), and incidence rates as number of incidents per 1,000 person-years at risk with corresponding 95 % CIs

CVD cardiovascular disease, No CVD participants with no history of CVD, Minor CVD participants with a history of angina, TIA, intermittent claudication, or heart failure, Major CVD participants with a history of MI, stroke, or surgery for arterial disease (aorta, carotid, coronary, or peripheral arteries)

aComposite endpoint: fatal and nonfatal MI, fatal and nonfatal stroke, and cardiovascular mortality