Table 9.
Short and long-run dynamics of the system
| Cointegrating eq: | CointEq1 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOG(RER(-1)) | 1.000 | ||||
| LOG(PROD(-1)) | -1.330 | ||||
| (0.126) | |||||
| [-10.534] | |||||
| LOG(TOT(-1)) | -0.260 | ||||
| (0.064) | |||||
| [- 4.076] | |||||
| LOG(TO(-1)) | 0.114 | ||||
| (0.052) | |||||
| [2.168] | |||||
| LOG(GEX(-1)) | 0.457 | ||||
| (0.049) | |||||
| [ 9.189] | |||||
| C | -4.374 | ||||
| (0.154) | |||||
| [-28.301] | |||||
| Error correction: | D(LOG(RER)) | D(LOG(PROD)) | D(LOG(TOT)) | D(LOG(TO)) | D(LOG(GEX)) |
| CointEq1 | -0.866 | -0.019 | -0.099 | 0.031 | -0.013 |
| (0.022) | (0.040) | (0.063) | (0.061) | (0.075) | |
| [-38.913] | [-0.492] | [-1.567] | [ 0.510] | [-0.176] | |
| D(LOG(RER(-1))) | -0.067 | 0.009 | 0.134 | -0.008 | 0.009 |
| (0.017) | (0.031) | (0.048) | (0.047) | (0.058) | |
| [-3.925] | [ 0.304] | [ 2.737] | [-0.169] | [ 0.165] | |
| D(LOG(PROD(-1))) | -0.611 | -0.288 | -0.144 | -0.291 | -0.066 |
| (0.125) | (0.228) | (0.354) | (0.350) | (0.425) | |
| [-4.859] | [-1.261] | [-0.40286] | [-0.832] | [-0.156] | |
| D(LOG(TOT(-1))) | 0.067 | 0.073 | 0.002 | -0.028 | -0.066 |
| (0.070) | (0.127) | (0.200) | (0.195) | (0.238) | |
| [0.956] | [ 0.571] | [ 0.014] | [-0.143] | [-0.278] | |
| D(LOG(TO(-1))) | 0.270 | 0.043 | 0.103 | 0.091 | 0.114 |
| (0.088) | (0.159) | (0.251) | (0.245) | (0.298) | |
| [ 3.073] | [ 0.271] | [ 0.410] | [ 0.372] | [ 0.385] | |
| D(LOG(GEX(-1))) | 0.170 | -0.002 | -0.252 | -0.351 | -0.479 |
| (0.069) | (0.126) | (0.198) | (0.193) | (0.235) | |
| [ 2.454] | [-0.018] | [-1.273] | [-1.813] | [-2.036] | |
| R-squared | 0.992 | 0.103 | 0.296 | 0.174 | 0.188 |
| Adj. R-squared | 0.991 | -0.120 | 0.121 | -0.032 | -0.014 |
| F-statistic | 556.314 | 0.463 | 1.688 | 0.842 | 0.927 |
Note: Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ].