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. 2013 Jul 9;185(10):E492–E498. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.121791

Table 3:

Rates of breast cancer before and after the start of the mammography screening program, by screening state

Age, yr 1970–1979 2005–2009

First screens Active screening Nonactive screening




Years-at-risk (1000s) Rate of invasive cancer per 1000 Rate of DCIS per 1000 No. of patients screened (1000s) Rate of invasive cancer per 1000 Rate of DCIS per 1000 Years-at-risk (1000s) Rate of invasive cancer per 1000 Rate of DCIS per 1000 Years-at-risk (1000s) Rate of invasive cancer per 1000 Rate of DCIS per 1000
40–44 655 1.1 0.08 88.8 1.5* 0.89* 243 1.1 0.28 614 1.0 0.11

45–49 655 1.7 0.08 44.5 2.8 1.17 446 1.6 0.44 454 1.4 0.18

50–54 652 2.1 0.10 29.1 4.7 1.55 503 1.8 0.48 339 1.7 0.17

55–59 598 2.3 0.07 14.3 5.4 0.98 468 2.3 0.54 277 2.0 0.15

60–64 523 2.6 0.07 9.6 8.3 2.61 376 3.0 0.69 217 2.5 0.18

65–69 421 2.7 0.08 6.3 11.2 1.43 286 3.5 0.74 169 2.9 0.27

70–74 319 2.9 0.08 3.3 14.1 1.80 224 3.8 0.74 150 3.1 0.25

75–79 240 2.9 0.12 1.7 16.0 1.72 172 4.0 0.81 153 3.3 0.29

80–84 164 3.2 0.12 0.3 14.5 2.90 127 3.0 0.25 138 3.8 0.17

85–89 92 3.4 0.08 0.1 0.0 0.0 72 2.9 0.10 99 4.2 0.09

Cumulative rate 124 4 137 26 130 9

95% CI 121 to 127 3 to 5 133 to 141 25 to 28 126 to 134 8 to 10

Note: CI = confidence interval, DCIS = ductal carcinoma in situ.

*

Used to estimate the detection rate of first screens at age 40 years.

Includes detection rate of first screens at age 40 years, given by the detection rate at age 40–44 years.