Table 2. Mean predicted change for temperature (°C) and precipitation (cm) from 3 climatic forecasts used to predict mean clutch size, incubation initiation, and daily survival rates for lesser prairie-chicken populations in 2050.
Parameter | Scenario | Predicted Change | Variance |
Winter Temperatures | Best Case 40 | 1.98↑ | 0.63 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 1.98↑ | 0.64 | |
Worst Case 40 | 2.02↑ | 0.70 | |
Winter Precipitation | Best Case 40 | 0.01↑ | 4.08 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 0.01↑ | 4.08 | |
Worst Case 40 | 0.01↑ | 4.00 | |
Spring Precipitation | Best Case 40 | 0.12↓ | 3.20 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 0.13↓ | 3.23 | |
Worst Case 40 | 0.13↓ | 3.23 | |
Spring Temperature | Best Case 40 | 2.56↑ | 0.46 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 2.55↑ | 0.47 | |
Worst Case 40 | 2.57↑ | 0.46 | |
Yearly Precipitation | Best Case 40 | 0.04↓ | 1.94 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 0.04↓ | 1.57 | |
Worst Case 40 | 0.04↓ | 1.78 | |
Wet Season Precipitation | Best Case 40 | 0.01↓ | 2.93 |
Ensemble Average 40 | 0.02↓ | 2.22 | |
Worst Case 40 | 0.03↓ | 1.71 |
↑ - Projected Increase.
↓ - Projected Decrease.