Table 1.
Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), with 95% confidence intervals and asymptotic ‘p’ value for null hypothesis that AUC does not differ from 0.5, for 56 patients of whom 12 were granted a conditional discharge
| Area under the curve |
95% confidence interval of area under the curve |
p | Odds Ratio |
95% confidence interval of odds ratio |
p | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | |||||
| DUNDRUM-1 triage security |
0.624 |
0.446 |
0.802 |
0.192 |
0.915 |
0.767 |
1.078 |
0.286 |
| DUNDRUM-3 programme completion |
0.902 |
0.808 |
0.995 |
<0.001 |
0.695 |
0.561 |
0.861 |
0.001 |
| DUNDRUM-4 recovery |
0.848 |
0.742 |
0.953 |
<0.001 |
0.761 |
0.638 |
0.908 |
0.002 |
| HCR-H historical |
0.745 |
0.584 |
0.906 |
0.010 |
0.690 |
0.523 |
0.910 |
0.009 |
| HCR-C clinical |
0.820 |
0.691 |
0.949 |
0.001 |
0.513 |
0.319 |
0.824 |
0.006 |
| HCR-R risk |
0.663 |
0.497 |
0.828 |
0.086 |
0.673 |
0.427 |
1.060 |
0.087 |
| HCR-dynamic (C + R) |
0.788 |
0.644 |
0.931 |
0.002 |
0.694 |
0.518 |
0.929 |
0.014 |
| HCR-total |
0.838 |
0.710 |
0.966 |
<0.001 |
0.728 |
0.586 |
0.904 |
0.004 |
| S-RAMM-B background |
0.546 |
0.358 |
0.734 |
0.633 |
0.948 |
0.748 |
1.202 |
0.660 |
| S-RAMM-C current |
0.765 |
0.613 |
0.917 |
0.006 |
0.538 |
0.325 |
0.892 |
0.016 |
| S-RAMM-F future |
0.680 |
0.498 |
0.862 |
0.060 |
0.766 |
0.586 |
1.002 |
0.052 |
| S-RAMM dynamic (C + F) |
0.738 |
0.583 |
0.892 |
0.013 |
0.798 |
0.665 |
0.958 |
0.016 |
| S-RAMM total |
0.869 |
0.525 |
0.859 |
0.045 |
0.848 |
0.736 |
0.977 |
0.022 |
| SAPRFOF |
0.806 |
0.654 |
0.958 |
0.001 |
1.305 |
1.059 |
1.607 |
0.013 |
| START-V |
0.899 |
0.789 |
1.000 |
<0.001 |
1.430 |
1.135 |
1.803 |
0.002 |
| START-S |
0.904 |
0.755 |
1.000 |
<0.001 |
0.625 |
0.461 |
0.847 |
0.002 |
| GAF |
0.930 |
0.845 |
1.000 |
<0.001 |
1.259 |
1.090 |
1.454 |
0.002 |
| PANSSpos |
0.758 |
0.625 |
0.891 |
0.007 |
0.709 |
0.478 |
1.050 |
0.086 |
| PANSSneg |
0.809 |
0.693 |
0.925 |
0.001 |
0.739 |
0.557 |
0.982 |
0.037 |
| PANSSgen |
0.809 |
0.686 |
0.932 |
0.001 |
0.790 |
0.659 |
0.946 |
0.010 |
| PANSStotal | 0.846 | 0.736 | 0.955 | <0.001 | 0.873 | 0.778 | 0.978 | 0.020 |
Note that lower scores are calculated as positive predictors of discharge, yielding higher AUCs, except for GAF, SAPROF and START-S, where higher scores are positive predictors yielding higher AUCs. Unadjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals and Wald p value.