Table 11.
Variables in order of magnitude of area under the curve for prediction of discharge
| Variable | AUC |
|---|---|
| GAF |
0.930 |
| D3 PC5 Self care and activities of daily living |
0.881 |
| START-strength S17 9(s) Insight |
0.873 |
| D4 R2 Insight |
0.868 |
| D3 PC4 Problem behaviours |
0.865 |
| D3 PC1 Physical health |
0.856 |
| D3 PC2 Mental health |
0.855 |
| D4 R1 Stability |
0.851 |
| D3 PC6 Education, occupation and creativity |
0.850 |
| D1 TS5 Specialist forensic need |
0.845 |
| START S17 (v) Insight |
0.835 |
| START S19 (s) Coping |
0.830 |
| START S6 (s) Mental state |
0.828 |
| START S2 (s) Relationships |
0.818 |
| D4 R5 Dynamic risk items |
0.805 |
| START ST18 (v). Plans |
0.795 |
| START S19 (v) Coping |
0.788 |
| SAPROF S11 Life goals |
0.786 |
| HCR-20 C1 Lack of insight |
0.779 |
| START ST18 Plans (s) |
0.773 |
| START ST20 Treatability (v) |
0.763 |
| SAPROF SO13. Social Network |
0.761 |
| HCR-20 C5 Unresponsiveness to treatment |
0.760 |
| HCR-20 H3 Relationship instability |
0.749 |
| D4 R6 Victim sensitivity |
0.748 |
| HCR-20 H4 Employment problems |
0.745 |
| D3 PC3 Drugs and alcohol |
0.742 |
| START ST6 (v) Mental state |
0.739 |
| START ST2 (v) Relationships |
0.736 |
| PANSS N1 Blunted affect |
0.735 |
| SRAMM F4 future response to psychological intervention |
0.729 |
| PANSS N5 Difficulty in abstract thinking |
0.729 |
| START ST11 (v) Social support |
0.727 |
| START ST3 (v) Occupational |
0.727 |
| D1 TS7 Preventing access |
0.726 |
| PANSS N4 Passive/apathetic/social withdrawal |
0.725 |
| START ST1 (v) Social skills |
0.723 |
| HCR-20 C3 Active symptoms of major mental illness |
0.722 |
| SAPROF SO4 Coping |
0.721 |
| PANSS P6 Suspiciousness/ persecution |
0.721 |
| D4 R3 Therapeutic rapport |
0.720 |
| HCR-20 R1 Plans lack feasibility |
0.719 |
| START ST10 (s) External triggers |
0.714 |
| D4 R4 Leave |
0.711 |
| SRAMM SC7 Psychosocial stress |
0.709 |
| SAPROF SO8 Financial management |
0.705 |
| D3 PC7 Family and social networks |
0.697 |
| START ST3 (s) Occupational |
0.696 |
| PANSS P1 Delusions |
0.690 |
| SAPROF SO5 Self control |
0.686 |
| SRAMM SC4 Treatment adherence |
0.686 |
| SRAMM F2 Future service contact |
0.686 |
| SRAMM F3 Future response to drug treatment |
0.686 |
| PANSS G9 Unusual thought content |
0.683 |
| SRAMM SC8 Problem solving deficits |
0.682 |
| PANSS N6 Lack of spontaneity and flow of conversation |
0.680 |
| SAPROF SO6 Work |
0.678 |
| START ST1 (s) Social skills |
0.678 |
| START ST7 (s) Emotional state |
0.678 |
| PANSS N2 Emotional withdrawal |
0.675 |
| START ST7 (v) Emotional state | 0.675 |
GAF global assessment of functioning, D3 DUNDRUM-3 programme completion, D4 DUNDRUM-4 recovery.