Table 4.
Item to outcome measures for DUNDRUM-3 programme completion and DUNDRUM-4 recovery
| |
AUC |
95% confidence interval of AUC |
p |
Odds ratio |
95% confidence interval of odds ratio |
p |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUNDRUM-3 programme completion | Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | ||||
| PC1 (Physical health) |
0.856 |
0.754 |
0.958 |
<0.001 |
0.169 |
0.054 |
0.528 |
0.002 |
| PC2 (Mental health) |
0.855 |
0.754 |
0.957 |
<0.001 |
0.139 |
0.035 |
0.551 |
0.005 |
| PC3 (Drugs and alcohol) |
0.742 |
0.605 |
0.880 |
0.011 |
0.364 |
0.158 |
0.840 |
0.018 |
| PC4 (Problem behaviours) |
0.865 |
0.763 |
0.966 |
<0.001 |
0.302 |
0.147 |
0.619 |
0.001 |
| PC5 (Self care and activities of daily living) |
0.881 |
0.788 |
0.973 |
<0.001 |
0.100 |
0.024 |
0.417 |
0.002 |
| PC6 (Education, occupation and creativity) |
0.850 |
0.743 |
0.958 |
<0.001 |
0.115 |
0.030 |
0.440 |
0.002 |
| PC7 (Family and social networks) |
0.697 |
0.511 |
0.883 |
0.038 |
0.564 |
0.318 |
0.999 |
0.050 |
|
DUNDRUM-4 recovery |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| R1 (Stability) |
0.851 |
0.745 |
0.957 |
<0.001 |
0.137 |
0.033 |
0.559 |
0.006 |
| R2 (Insight) |
0.868 |
0.766 |
0.970 |
<0.001 |
0.068 |
0.009 |
0.493 |
0.008 |
| R3 (Therapeutic rapport) |
0.720 |
0.544 |
0.895 |
0.021 |
0.466 |
0.234 |
0.929 |
0.030 |
| R4 (Leave) |
0.711 |
0.571 |
0.852 |
0.026 |
0.466 |
0.232 |
0.939 |
0.033 |
| R5 (Dynamic risk items) |
0.805 |
0.687 |
0.923 |
0.001 |
0.308 |
0.136 |
0.702 |
0.005 |
| R6 (Victim sensitivity) | 0.748 | 0.586 | 0.910 | 0.009 | 0.500 | 0.295 | 0.849 | 0.010 |
Note that lower (better) scores are calculated to be positive predictors of discharge yielding higher AUCs. AUC area under the curve (receiver operating characteristic). ‘p’ = Asymptotic probability for null hypothesis that AUC = 0.5. Unadjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals and Wald p values.