Table 1.
Marshland region (Tongling) |
Hilly region (Shitai) |
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GH | HP | XZ | Overall | LQ | LS | YT | Overall | |
Humans | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | 0.3 (0.0, 0.9) | 0.2 (0.0, 0.8) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.7) |
Cattle | 1.8 (1.2, 2.8) | 1.1 (0.3, 1.7) | 2.9 (1.5, 5.8) | 2.1 (1.3, 3.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.7) | — | 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) |
Water buffalo | 0.1 (0.0, 1.0) | 0.3 (0.1, 1.0) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.9) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.9) | — | — | — | — |
Bovines* | 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) | 1.2 (0.6, 1.7) | 2.9 (1.6, 5.6) | 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.7) | — | 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) |
Goats | — | — | 0.1 (0.0, 1.0) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | — | — | — | — |
Dogs | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.2 (0.0, 1.6) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.1 (0.0, 1.3) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.8) |
Cats | 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) | 0.0 (0.0, 00) |
Rodents | 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) | 0.2 (0.0, 1.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) | 1.8 (1.1, 6.2) | 1.3 (0.6, 2.9) | 1.5 (0.9, 4.8) | 1.5 (0.9, 2.9) |
Overall† | 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) | 1.3 (1.2, 1.8) | 2.9 (1.9, 5.7) | 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) | 2.0 (1.3, 6.3) | 1.4 (1.1, 2.9) | 1.6 (1.1, 4.8) | 1.6 (1.3, 2.9) |
Values represent medians (and interpercentile ranges) from a multivariate uncertainty analysis. R0(i) values above one (bold) indicate maintenance host species. GH, Guanghui; HP, Heping; LQ, Longquan; LS, Longshang; XZ, Xingzhuang; YT, Yuantou.
Values for bovines represent those values for cattle and water buffalo combined (calculated from the largest eigenvalue of a next generation matrix of transmission among cattle and water buffalo only).
Overall R0 values calculated from the largest eigenvalue of the next generation matrix for transmission among all host species.