Skip to main content
. 2013 Jun 24;110(28):11457–11462. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1221509110

Table 1.

Estimates of the basic reproduction number for S. japonicum transmission within each definitive host species [R0(i)] and overall (R0) for each village and region in Anhui, China

Marshland region (Tongling)
Hilly region (Shitai)
GH HP XZ Overall LQ LS YT Overall
Humans 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) 0.3 (0.0, 0.9) 0.2 (0.0, 0.8) 0.1 (0.0, 0.7)
Cattle 1.8 (1.2, 2.8) 1.1 (0.3, 1.7) 2.9 (1.5, 5.8) 2.1 (1.3, 3.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) 0.1 (0.0, 0.7) 0.0 (0.0, 0.4)
Water buffalo 0.1 (0.0, 1.0) 0.3 (0.1, 1.0) 0.1 (0.0, 0.9) 0.1 (0.0, 0.9)
Bovines* 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.2 (0.6, 1.7) 2.9 (1.6, 5.6) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) 0.1 (0.0, 0.7) 0.0 (0.0, 0.4)
Goats 0.1 (0.0, 1.0) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2)
Dogs 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.2 (0.0, 1.6) 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) 0.1 (0.0, 1.3) 0.1 (0.0, 0.8)
Cats 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) 0.0 (0.0, 0.0) 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.1) 0.0 (0.0, 00)
Rodents 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) 0.2 (0.0, 1.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) 1.8 (1.1, 6.2) 1.3 (0.6, 2.9) 1.5 (0.9, 4.8) 1.5 (0.9, 2.9)
Overall 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.3 (1.2, 1.8) 2.9 (1.9, 5.7) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 2.0 (1.3, 6.3) 1.4 (1.1, 2.9) 1.6 (1.1, 4.8) 1.6 (1.3, 2.9)

Values represent medians (and interpercentile ranges) from a multivariate uncertainty analysis. R0(i) values above one (bold) indicate maintenance host species. GH, Guanghui; HP, Heping; LQ, Longquan; LS, Longshang; XZ, Xingzhuang; YT, Yuantou.

*

Values for bovines represent those values for cattle and water buffalo combined (calculated from the largest eigenvalue of a next generation matrix of transmission among cattle and water buffalo only).

Overall R0 values calculated from the largest eigenvalue of the next generation matrix for transmission among all host species.