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. 2013 Jun 24;110(28):11457–11462. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1221509110

Table 2.

Estimates of the overall basic reproduction number (R0) for S. japonicum transmission within each village after removal of transmission from each definitive host species

Removed host species Marshland region (Tongling)
Hilly region (Shitai)
GH HP XZ Overall LQ LS YT Overall
Humans 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.3 (1.1, 1.8) 2.9 (1.8, 5.7) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 2.0 (1.3, 6.3) 1.4 (0.7, 2.9) 1.5 (0.9, 4.8) 1.5 (1.1, 2.9)
Cattle 0.2 (0.0, 1.1) 0.6 (0.1, 1.4) 0.3 (0.1, 1.3) 0.2 (0.0, 1.1) 2.0 (1.3, 6.3) 1.4 (0.9, 2.9) 1.6 (1.2, 2.9)
Water buffalo 1.9 (1.3, 2.8) 1.2 (0.4, 1.8) 2.9 (1.6, 5.6) 2.1 (1.4, 3.3)
Bovines* 0.0 (0.0, 0.4) 0.3 (0.0, 1.3) 0.1 (0.0, 1.1) 0.1 (0.0, 0.5) 2.0 (1.3, 6.3) 1.4 (0.9, 2.9) 1.6 (1.2, 2.9)
Goats 2.9 (1.7, 5.6) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3)
Dogs 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.3 (1.1, 1.8) 2.9 (1.8, 5.6) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 1.9 (1.1, 6.3) 1.4 (1.0, 2.9) 1.5 (0.9, 4.8) 1.5 (1.1, 2.9)
Cats 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.3 (1.1, 1.8) 2.9 (1.8, 5.7) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 1.9 (1.3, 6.3) 1.4 (1.1, 2.9) 1.6 (1.1, 4.8) 1.6 (1.3, 2.9)
Rodents 1.9 (1.5, 2.8) 1.2 (0.7, 1.7) 2.9 (1.8, 5.6) 2.1 (1.6, 3.3) 0.2 (0.0, 1.6) 0.4 (0.1, 1.0) 0.3 (0.0, 1.3) 0.3 (0.0, 0.9)

Values represent medians (and interpercentile ranges) from a multivariate uncertainty analysis. R0 values less than one (bold) indicate that the removed host species is essential for transmission. GH, Guanghui; HP, Heping; LQ, Longquan; LS, Longshang; XZ, Xingzhuang; YT, Yuantou.

*

Values for bovines represent overall R0 values when transmission from both cattle and water buffaloes is removed.