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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jul 16.
Published in final edited form as: Arch Intern Med. 2012 Mar 12;172(7):555–563. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2011.2287

Table 4. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of cancer mortality according to red meat intake in the HPFS and NHS.

Frequency of consumption (quintiles) P for trend HR (95% CI) for 1 serving/d increase

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5
HPFS

Total red meat
 Cases/person-years 598/152206 558/153082 561/152574 646/153343 710/152584
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 1.03 (0.91-1.15) 1.05 (0.93-1.18) 1.20 (1.07-1.34) 1.33 (1.20-1.49) <0.001 1.17 (1.12-1.22)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.05 (0.94-1.18) 1.07 (0.95-1.20) 1.18 (1.05-1.33) 1.24 (1.09-1.40) <0.001 1.12 (1.06-1.17)
Unprocessed red meat
 Cases/person-years 650/151745 588/150121 540/155255 613/152008 682/154661
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 1.00 (0.89-1.12) 0.97 (0.86-1.08) 1.06 (0.95-1.18) 1.25 (1.12-1.39) <0.001 1.18 (1.11-1.26)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.01 (0.90-1.13) 1.03 (0.91-1.15) 1.05 (0.94-1.18) 1.18 (1.05-1.33) <0.001 1.13 (1.05-1.21)
Processed red meat
 Cases/person-years 669/172756 487/131895 580/153463 589/153122 748/152551
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 0.97 (0.86-1.09) 1.09 (0.98-1.22) 1.09 (0.97-1.21) 1.28 (1.15-1.42) <0.001 1.31 (1.21-1.41)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.00 (0.89-1.12) 1.07 (0.96-1.20) 1.07 (0.95-1.20) 1.15 (1.02-1.29) <0.001 1.17 (1.07-1.27)

NHS

Total red meat
 Cases/person-years 1264/439774 1191/443495 1185/440970 1263/441727 1488/441393
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 1.04 (0.96-1.13) 1.08 (1.00-1.17) 1.19 (1.10-1.29) 1.39 (1.29-1.50) <0.001 1.21 (1.17-1.25)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.05 (0.97-1.14) 1.10 (1.01-1.19) 1.15 (1.06-1.25) 1.17 (1.08-1.28) <0.001 1.09 (1.05-1.13)
Unprocessed red meat
 Cases/person-years 1308/442572 1222/442671 1120/440530 1215/432361 1526/449225
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 1.02 (0.94-1.10) 0.97 (0.90-1.06) 1.09 (1.01-1.18) 1.33 (1.24-1.44) <0.001 1.22 (1.17-1.27)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.04 (0.96-1.12) 1.03 (0.95-1.12) 1.11 (1.02-1.20) 1.17 (1.08-1.27) <0.001 1.09 (1.04-1.14)
Processed red meat
 Cases/person-years 1294/444119 1230/421760 1236/456687 1204/442791 1427/442002
 Age-adjusted model 1.00 1.08 (1.00-1.17) 1.11 (1.03-1.20) 1.14 (1.05-1.23) 1.35 (1.25-1.46) <0.001 1.41 (1.31-1.52)
 Multivariate modela 1.00 1.05 (0.97-1.14) 1.08 (1.00-1.17) 1.08 (1.00-1.17) 1.14 (1.05-1.23) 0.001 1.14 (1.05-1.24)

Pooled Resultsb

 Total red meat 1.00 1.05 (0.98-1.12) 1.09 (1.02-1.16) 1.16 (1.08-1.24) 1.19 (1.11-1.28) <0.001 1.10 (1.07-1.13)
 Unprocessed red meat 1.00 1.03 (0.97-1.10) 1.03 (0.96-1.10) 1.09 (1.02-1.16) 1.17 (1.10-1.26) <0.001 1.10 (1.06-1.14)
 Processed red meat 1.00 1.03 (0.97-1.10) 1.08 (1.01-1.15) 1.08 (1.01-1.15) 1.14 (1.07-1.22) <0.001 1.16 (1.09-1.23)

Abbreviation: HPFS, Health Professionals Follow-up Study; NHS, Nurses' Health Study.

a

Multivariate model: adjusted for age (continuous), body mass index category (<23, 23-24.9, 25-29.9, 30-34.9, ≥35 kg/m2), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1-4.9, 5.0-14.9, ≥15 g/d), physical activity level (<3, 3-8.9, 9-17.9, 18-26.9, ≥27 hours of metabolic equivalent tasks per week), smoking status (never, past, current 1-14 cigarettes/d, current 15-24 cigarettes/d, current ≥25 cigarettes/d,), race (white/non-white), menopausal status and hormone use in women (premenopausal, postmenopausal never users, postmenopausal past users, postmenopausal current users), family history of diabetes, myocardial infarction, or cancer, history of diabetes, hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia, quintiles of total energy intake, whole grains, fruits, and vegetables.

b

Results from multivariate model were combined using random-effects model.