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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jul 16.
Published in final edited form as: Q J Econ. 2011;126(1):103–143. doi: 10.1093/qje/qjr001

Table V.

Timing of Shocks and Violence.

Poisson Regression
Intimate Partner Violence, Male on Female, at Home
Assaults Occurring between (Eastern Time):
12 PM to 3 PM 3 PM to 6 PM 6 PM to 9 PM 9 PM to 12 AM
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Games starting at 1 PM
Loss × Predicted Win (Upset Loss) .075 (.075) .200 (.057) .036 (.071) .075 (.073)
Loss × Predicted Close (Close Loss) .012 (.058) −.002 (.065) −.013 (.056) .077 (.050)
Win × Predicted Loss (Upset Win) .017 (.073) −.071 (.067) −.006 (.057) .036 (.050)
Predicted Win −.007 (.105) −.140 (.103) .070 (.090) −.191 (.095)
Predicted Close .024 (.097) −.075 (.097) .049 (.083) −.154 (.097)
Predicted Loss −.075 (.087) −.039 (.099) .029 (.079) −.117 (.085)
Nielsen Rating .001 (.004) .005 (.004) −.002 (.003) .006 (.003)
Games starting at 4 PM
Loss × Predicted Win (Upset Loss) .033 (.182) .235 (.216) .307 (.167) .137 (.170)
Loss × Predicted Close (Close Loss) .064 (.113) .211 (.110) .016 (.091) −.042 (.103)
Win × Predicted Loss (Upset Win) .115 (.203) .121 (.157) −.282 (.124) .024 (.121)
Predicted Win −.188 (.240) .035 (.177) −.100 (.160) −.040 (.160)
Predicted Close −.263 (.213) −.117 (.154) −.124 (.129) −.083 (.126)
Predicted Loss −.073 (.206) −.022 (.133) −.096 (.123) −.101 (.128)
Nielsen Rating .006 (.007) −.002 (.006) .006 (.005) .004 (.005)
Non-game Day --- --- --- ---
Number of Agencies 563 591 619 620
Observations 63,875 65,285 67,426 67,308

Notes: Standard errors in parentheses, clustered by team×season. Regressions include agency fixed effects, season dummies, week of season dummies, and the holiday and weather variables described in the note to Table 4. Estimated models are comparable to the baseline model in column 3 of Table 4. See notes to Table 4 for details. Each column is a single regression for a given three-hour period and allows for separate coefficients for games starting at 1 PM versus 4 PM.