Table 5.
Cause of death/ Characteristic | No. of deaths |
Crude RRa |
95% CI | No. of deaths |
Adjusted RRb |
95% CI | No. of deaths |
Adjusted RRc |
95% CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All causes | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 575 | 0.88 | 0.77–1.00 | 575 | 0.87 | 0.76–0.99 | 570 | 0.86 | 0.76–0.98 |
1987–1991 | 419 | 1 | 419 | 1 | 415 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 459 | 1 | 459 | 1 | 456 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 535 | 1.20 | 1.06–1.36 | 535 | 1.23 | 1.09–1.40 | 529 | 1.21 | 1.06–1.37 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 156 | 1 | 156 | 1 | 153 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 297 | 1.21 | 1.00–1.47 | 297 | 1.22 | 1.00–1.48 | 294 | 1.20 | 0.99–1.46 |
≥14 | 541 | 1.18 | 0.99–1.41 | 541 | 1.20 | 1.00–1.43 | 538 | 1.19 | 1.00–1.43 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 485 | 1 | 485 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 500 | 1.25 | 1.10–1.41 | 500 | 1.33 | 1.17–1.51 | |||
Education | |||||||||
Higher or secondary | 585 | 1 | 585 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 400 | 1.64 | 1.45–1.87 | 400 | 1.73 | 1.51–1.98 | |||
| |||||||||
Malignant neoplasms | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 101 | 0.92 | 0.68–1.24 | 101 | 0.96 | 0.70–1.30 | 101 | 0.94 | 0.69–1.28 |
1987–1991 | 74 | 1 | 74 | 1 | 74 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 94 | 1 | 94 | 1 | 94 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 81 | 0.94 | 0.70–1.27 | 81 | 0.94 | 0.70–1.27 | 81 | 0.93 | 0.69–1.25 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 35 | 0.97 | 0.55–1.70 | 35 | 0.95 | 0.54–1.69 | 35 | 0.93 | 0.53–1.65 |
≥14 | 122 | 1.12 | 0.68–1.83 | 122 | 1.11 | 0.67–1.82 | 122 | 1.09 | 0.67–1.80 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 85 | 1 | 85 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 90 | 1.29 | 0.96–1.73 | 90 | 1.41 | 1.04–1.90 | |||
Education | |||||||||
Higher or secondary | 95 | 1 | 95 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 80 | 1.68 | 1.25–2.26 | 80 | 1.79 | 1.31–2.44 | |||
| |||||||||
Diseases of the circulatory system | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 153 | 0.83 | 0.65–1.05 | 153 | 0.81 | 0.63–1.03 | 153 | 0.80 | 0.63–1.03 |
1987–1991 | 125 | 1 | 125 | 1 | 124 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 130 | 1 | 130 | 1 | 129 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 148 | 1.23 | 0.97–1.55 | 148 | 1.26 | 0.99–1.60 | 148 | 1.26 | 0.99–1.61 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 34 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 34 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 79 | 1.21 | 0.81–1.82 | 79 | 1.22 | 0.82–1.83 | 78 | 1.18 | 0.79–1.77 |
≥14 | 165 | 1.05 | 0.72–1.52 | 165 | 1.07 | 0.74–1.55 | 165 | 1.05 | 0.73–1.53 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 142 | 1 | 142 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 135 | 1.15 | 0.91–1.46 | 135 | 1.22 | 0.96–1.56 | |||
Education | |||||||||
Higher or secondary | 155 | 1 | 155 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 122 | 1.63 | 1.29–2.07 | 122 | 1.73 | 1.35–2.21 | |||
| |||||||||
External causes | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 205 | 0.88 | 0.71–1.09 | 205 | 0.89 | 0.71–1.12 | 200 | 0.88 | 0.70–1.11 |
1987–1991 | 139 | 1 | 139 | 1 | 137 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 152 | 1 | 152 | 1 | 151 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 192 | 1.23 | 0.99–1.52 | 192 | 1.27 | 1.02–1.58 | 186 | 1.22 | 0.98–1.52 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 94 | 1 | 94 | 1 | 92 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 117 | 1.03 | 0.78–1.35 | 117 | 1.04 | 0.79–1.36 | 115 | 1.02 | 0.77–1.34 |
≥14 | 133 | 1.12 | 0.86–1.46 | 133 | 1.16 | 0.89–1.51 | 130 | 1.13 | 0.87–1.48 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 168 | 1 | 168 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 169 | 1.21 | 0.98–1.50 | 169 | 1.28 | 1.03–1.58 | |||
Higher or secondary | 213 | 1 | 213 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 124 | 1.69 | 1.36–2.11 | 124 | 1.72 | 1.36–2.17 | |||
| |||||||||
Suicide | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 60 | 1.56 | 0.96–2.52 | 60 | 1.51 | 0.91–2.50 | 59 | 1.48 | 0.89–2.47 |
1987–1991 | 23 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 23 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 36 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 36 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 47 | 1.27 | 0.82–1.96 | 47 | 1.16 | 0.75–1.81 | 46 | 1.14 | 0.73–1.79 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 33 | 1.08 | 0.65–1.80 | 33 | 1.06 | 0.63–1.78 | 32 | 1.00 | 0.59–1.67 |
≥14 | 24 | 0.94 | 0.54–1.63 | 24 | 0.91 | 0.52–1.58 | 24 | 0.88 | 0.50–1.54 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 47 | 1 | 47 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 35 | 0.89 | 0.57–1.38 | 35 | 0.95 | 0.61–1.49 | |||
Education | |||||||||
Higher or secondary | 52 | 1 | 52 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 30 | 1.65 | 1.05–2.59 | 30 | 1.77 | 1.10–2.85 | |||
| |||||||||
Selected alcohol-related causes | |||||||||
Year of arrival in the Chernobyl area | |||||||||
1986 | 54 | 0.90 | 0.60–1.37 | 54 | 0.84 | 0.54–1.30 | 53 | 0.82 | 0.53–1.28 |
1987–1991 | 38 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 38 | 1 | |||
Duration of stay in the Chernobyl area (days) | |||||||||
<92 | 36 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 36 | 1 | |||
≥92 | 56 | 1.52 | 1.00–2.30 | 56 | 1.60 | 1.04–2.46 | 55 | 1.52 | 0.99–2.35 |
Time since return from the Chernobyl area (years) | |||||||||
<7 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 1 | |||
7–13 | 19 | 1.00 | 0.48–2.11 | 19 | 1.05 | 0.50–2.22 | 19 | 1.14 | 0.53–2.45 |
≥14 | 62 | 1.45 | 0.76–2.76 | 62 | 1.62 | 0.85–3.11 | 62 | 1.77 | 0.90–3.48 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||
Estonian | 40 | 1 | 40 | 1 | |||||
Non-Estonian | 51 | 1.54 | 1.02–2.33 | 51 | 1.63 | 1.07–2.49 | |||
Education | |||||||||
Higher or secondary | 57 | 1 | 57 | 1 | |||||
Basic or less | 34 | 1.68 | 1.10–2.56 | 34 | 1.76 | 1.13–2.76 |
For year of arrival, duration of stay, and time since return from the Chernobyl area 167 subjects with unknown values were excluded; for ethnicity and education 556 subjects with unknown values were excluded.
Model 1: includes age at start of follow-up, year of arrival, duration of stay, and time since return from the Chernobyl area (167 subjects with unknown values were excluded).
Model 2: includes age at start of follow-up, year of arrival, duration of stay, time since return from the Chernobyl area, ethnicity and education (556 subjects with unknown values were excluded).