Table 2. CHD deaths prevented/postponed in 2020 by risk factor change scenario.
| Population (per 1000) | CHD mortality rate (per 100,000) a | Expected deaths |
Deaths prevented/postponed (DPPs)b
|
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2007 | 2020 | 2020 | ||||
| Worst case | Current trends | Intermediate | Optimal | ||||
| All | |||||||
| England c | 39,787 | 147.4 | 97,059 | 16,170 | -22,640 | -22,330 | -39,720 |
| Q1 | 8,651 | 108.9 | 18,284 | 2,670 | -4,370 | -3,930 | -7,070 |
| Q2 | 8,476 | 125.1 | 20,382 | 3,190 | -5,000 | -4,500 | -8,060 |
| Q3 | 8,182 | 141.8 | 20,579 | 3,540 | -4,330 | -4,650 | -8,280 |
| Q4 | 7,633 | 169.1 | 19,483 | 3,160 | -4,610 | -4,580 | -8,120 |
| Q5 | 6,846 | 214.0 | 18,331 | 3,610 | -4,320 | -4,690 | -8,200 |
| Men | |||||||
| England c | 19,462 | 200.3 | 57,270 | 8,700 | -12,820 | -13,140 | -23,340 |
| Q1 | 4,209 | 148.1 | 10,998 | 1,410 | -2,660 | -2,340 | -4,210 |
| Q2 | 4,130 | 169.5 | 12,021 | 1,770 | -2,700 | -2,640 | -4,720 |
| Q3 | 4,001 | 192.6 | 12,021 | 2,010 | -2,590 | -2,710 | -4,820 |
| Q4 | 3,753 | 230.2 | 11,283 | 1,650 | -2,510 | -2,660 | -4,700 |
| Q5 | 3,369 | 292.6 | 10,946 | 1,860 | -2,350 | -2,800 | -4,890 |
| Women | |||||||
| England c | 20,325 | 94.6 | 39,789 | 7,470 | -9,820 | -9,190 | -16,380 |
| Q1 | 4,442 | 69.7 | 7,287 | 1,260 | -1,710 | -1,590 | -2,860 |
| Q2 | 4,345 | 80.8 | 8,361 | 1,420 | -2,300 | -1,860 | -3,340 |
| Q3 | 4,180 | 91.0 | 8,557 | 1,530 | -1,740 | -1,940 | -3,460 |
| Q4 | 3,881 | 108.0 | 8,200 | 1,510 | -2,100 | -1,920 | -3,420 |
| Q5 | 3,477 | 135.5 | 7,384 | 1,750 | -1,970 | -1,890 | -3,310 |
a Age-standardised.
b DPPs rounded to nearest 10: positive DPPs represent adverse trends; negative DPPs show risk factor reduction.
c Summation of IMD quintile counts.