Table 2.
Cr cutoffs to predict death stratified by baseline BUN quartile
BUN Strata | ΔCr cutpoint | Sensitivity In-hospital death | Specificity In-hospital death | Sensitivity + Specificity | Odds Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 < BUN ≤ 15 | 0.2 | 94.4 (17/18) | 48.9 (822/1680) | 143.3 | 16.29 |
0.3 | 72.2 (13/18) | 67.7 (1137/1680) | 139.9 | 5.44 | |
0.5 | 50.0 (9/18) | 88.5 (1487/1680) | 138.5 | 7.70 | |
16 ≤ BUN ≤ 22 | 0.3 | 62.5 (20/32) | 63.5 (1279/2014) | 126 | 2.90 |
0.5 | 59.4 (19/32) | 82.2 (1656/2014) | 141.6 | 6.76 | |
0.6 | 59.4 (19/32) | 88.0 (1772/2014) | 147.4 | 10.70 | |
23 ≤ BUN ≤ 32 | 0.3 | 63.9 (23/36) | 60.0 (1039/1731) | 123.9 | 2.66 |
0.5 | 50.0 (18/36) | 79.4 (1375/1731) | 129.4 | 3.86 | |
0.7 | 44.4 (16/36) | 89.3 (1546/1731) | 133.7 | 6.69 | |
33 ≤ BUN < 200 | 0.3 | 67.8 (80/118) | 56.9 (1005/1765) | 124.7 | 2.78 |
0.5 | 60.2 (71/118) | 74.2 (1310/1765) | 134.4 | 4.35 | |
0.8 | 54.9 (65/118) | 85.8 (1514/1765) | 140.7 | 7.40 | |
BUN Strata | ΔCr cutpoint | Sensitivity Post-discharge death | Specificity Post-discharge death | Sensitivity + Specificity | Odds ratio |
0 < BUN ≤ 15 | 0.3 | 83.0 (181/218) | 18.4 (206/1118) | 101.4 | 1.11 |
0.5 | 93.6 (204/218) | 7.4 (83/1118) | 101 | 1.17 | |
16 ≤ BUN ≤ 22 | 0.3 | 42.6 (142/333) | 65.4 (902/1380) | 108 | 1.40 |
0.5 | 22.5 (75/333) | 83.7 (1155/1380) | 106.2 | 1.49 | |
23 ≤ BUN ≤ 32 | 0.1 | 73.3 (302/412) | 33.0 (362/1096) | 106.3 | 1.35 |
0.3 | 56.6 (233/412) | 46.9 (514/1096) | 103.5 | 1.15 | |
0.5 | 20.9 (86/412) | 80.1(878/1096) | 101 | 1.06 | |
33 ≤ BUN < 200 | 0.1 | 69.2 (477/689) | 37.0 (331/895) | 106.2 | 1.32 |
0.3 | 46.0 (317/689) | 58.4 (523/895) | 104.4 | 1.20 | |
0.5 | 28.0 (193/689) | 74.2 (664/895) | 102.2 | 1.19 |