Table 2.
Person-Years | Histological Type |
P for Heterogeneityb | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ductal |
Mucinous |
Tubular |
Lobular |
Mixed Ductal-Lobular |
|||||||||||||
No. of Cases | HR | 95% CI | No. of Cases | HR | 95% CI | No. of Cases | HR | 95% CI | No. of Cases | HR | 95% CI | No. of Cases | HR | 95% CI | |||
Age at menarche, years | |||||||||||||||||
≤12 | 896,035 | 2,660 | 1 | Reference | 123 | 1 | Reference | 72 | 1 | Reference | 387 | 1 | Reference | 326 | 1 | Reference | 0.08 |
13–14 | 766,087 | 2,191 | 0.98 | 0.92, 1.04 | 77 | 0.63 | 0.46, 0.87 | 49 | 0.74 | 0.50, 1.07 | 374 | 1.09 | 0.94, 1.28 | 257 | 0.87 | 0.73, 1.04 | |
≥15 | 174,041 | 469 | 0.92 | 0.83, 1.03 | 16 | 0.70 | 0.40, 1.22 | 11 | 0.73 | 0.38, 1.43 | 72 | 0.96 | 0.73, 1.26 | 54 | 0.89 | 0.65, 1.20 | |
P-trend | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.68 | 0.16 | ||||||||||||
Parityc | |||||||||||||||||
Nulliparous | 256,371 | 881 | 1 | Reference | 35 | 1 | Reference | 29 | 1 | Reference | 118 | 1 | Reference | 110 | 1 | Reference | 0.10 |
Parous | 1,561,723 | 4,364 | 0.78 | 0.72, 0.84 | 179 | 0.89 | 0.59, 1.34 | 103 | 0.55 | 0.35, 0.87 | 702 | 1.02 | 0.81, 1.27 | 520 | 0.84 | 0.66, 1.05 | |
No. of children (among parous women)c | |||||||||||||||||
≥3 | 898,983 | 2,465 | 1 | Reference | 103 | 1 | Reference | 57 | 1 | Reference | 376 | 1 | Reference | 274 | 1 | Reference | 0.48 |
2 | 474,043 | 1,346 | 1.03 | 0.96, 1.11 | 52 | 0.97 | 0.67, 1.40 | 37 | 1.25 | 0.81, 1.92 | 218 | 1.13 | 0.94, 1.35 | 177 | 1.20 | 0.98, 1.47 | |
1 | 188,697 | 553 | 1.12 | 1.02, 1.24 | 24 | 1.11 | 0.68, 1.81 | 9 | 0.90 | 0.44, 1.85 | 108 | 1.45 | 1.15, 1.83 | 69 | 1.18 | 0.89, 1.58 | |
P-trend | 0.03 | 0.80 | 0.79 | <0.01 | 0.10 | ||||||||||||
Age at first birth (among parous women), years | |||||||||||||||||
≤19 | 325,305 | 799 | 0.91 | 0.83, 0.99 | 38 | 1.18 | 0.78, 1.78 | 13 | 0.59 | 0.30, 1.13 | 92 | 0.79 | 0.61, 1.02 | 68 | 0.64 | 0.47, 0.87 | <0.01 |
20–24 | 803,597 | 2,239 | 1 | Reference | 93 | 1 | Reference | 58 | 1 | Reference | 318 | 1 | Reference | 249 | 1 | Reference | |
25–29 | 323,109 | 961 | 1.03 | 0.95, 1.12 | 40 | 1.17 | 0.78, 1.75 | 24 | 0.95 | 0.58, 1.58 | 207 | 1.58 | 1.31, 1.91 | 140 | 1.28 | 1.02, 1.60 | |
≥30 | 104,584 | 350 | 1.15 | 1.01, 1.30 | 8 | 0.62 | 0.27, 1.42 | 8 | 1.08 | 0.51, 2.29 | 82 | 1.82 | 1.39, 2.37 | 62 | 1.87 | 1.39, 2.51 | |
P-trend | <0.01 | 0.34 | 0.28 | <0.01 | <0.01 | ||||||||||||
Type of menopause and age at menopause, years | |||||||||||||||||
Natural, <45 | 127,949 | 329 | 0.84 | 0.74, 0.96 | 12 | 1.19 | 0.62, 2.29 | 7 | 0.68 | 0.31, 1.51 | 58 | 0.94 | 0.69, 1.28 | 41 | 0.82 | 0.56, 1.19 | 0.01 |
Natural, 45–49 | 298,055 | 877 | 0.93 | 0.85, 1.02 | 30 | 1.21 | 0.74, 1.98 | 27 | 0.96 | 0.59, 1.56 | 133 | 0.91 | 0.73, 1.13 | 92 | 0.78 | 0.60, 1.01 | |
Natural, 50–54 | 516,047 | 1,630 | 1 | Reference | 48 | 1 | Reference | 52 | 1 | Reference | 270 | 1 | Reference | 208 | 1 | Reference | |
Natural, ≥55 | 114,664 | 465 | 1.27 | 1.13, 1.41 | 13 | 1.29 | 0.67, 2.47 | 15 | 1.36 | 0.76, 2.45 | 73 | 1.06 | 0.79, 1.40 | 60 | 1.32 | 0.97, 1.78 | |
Bilateral oophorectomy | 375,409 | 910 | 0.69 | 0.63, 0.75 | 64 | 1.53 | 0.98, 2.38 | 12 | 0.21 | 0.11, 0.42 | 140 | 0.63 | 0.50, 0.80 | 95 | 0.55 | 0.42, 0.73 | |
Other surgical menopause | 362,901 | 976 | 0.82 | 0.75, 0.90 | 43 | 1.28 | 0.81, 2.03 | 14 | 0.31 | 0.17, 0.58 | 144 | 0.74 | 0.59, 0.93 | 114 | 0.73 | 0.56, 0.94 | |
Medically induced menopause or unknown age at natural menopause | 48,209 | 147 | 0.92 | 0.76, 1.11 | 6 | 1.66 | 0.65, 4.27 | 5 | 0.78 | 0.31, 1.98 | 18 | 0.55 | 0.31, 0.99 | 29 | 1.32 | 0.86, 2.04 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NIH, National Institutes of Health.
a Estimates were adjusted for age at baseline, education, race, marital status, menopausal hormone use, oral contraceptive use, alcohol use, body mass index, frequency of vigorous physical activity, number of previous breast biopsies, family history of breast cancer (first-degree relative), and all other variables in the table, except where noted.
b Two-sided P value from the Wald test, simultaneously comparing associations for ductal, mucinous, tubular, lobular, and mixed ductal-lobular types.
c Not adjusted for age at first birth.