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. 2013 Jul 27;13:197. doi: 10.1186/1471-244X-13-197

Table 10.

DUNDRUM-1 triage security items, DUNDRUM-3 programme completion items and DUNDRUM-4 recovery items related to outcomes

 
Harm to others 12/94
Harm to self 7/94
 
AUC
95% CI
p
OR
95% CI
p
AUC
95% CI
p
OR
95% CI
P
    lower upper     lower upper     lower upper     lower upper  
 
DUNDRUM-1 triage security
TS1 Seriousness of violence
.454
.275
.634
.610
1.012
0.436
2.347
0.978
.365
.133
.596
.235
0.769
0.344
1.721
0.523
TS2 Seriousness of self-harm
.627
.477
.776
.158
1.278
0.858
1.904
0.227
.665
.506
.824
.148
1.373
0.832
2.265
0.215
TS3 Immediacy of risk of violence
.587
.385
.790
.330
1.517
0.969
2.376
0.069
.701
.459
.944
.078
1.646
0.931
2.909
0.087
TS4 Immediacy of risk of suicide/ self harm
.665
.505
.824
.066
1.545
0.870
2.744
0.138
.704
.528
.881
.073
1.506
0.727
3.121
0.270
TS5 Specialist forensic need
.630
.491
.769
.147
1.239
0.520
2.950
0.629
.623
.459
.788
.280
0.734
0.287
1.879
0.519
TS6 Absconding / eloping
.586
.397
.775
.336
1.239
0.520
2.950
0.629
.499
.235
.764
.994
0.734
0.287
1.879
0.519
TS7 Preventing access
.640
.484
.797
.118
1.926
0.888
4.179
0.097
.526
.321
.732
.818
1.162
0.462
2.923
0.750
TS8 Victim sensitivity/public confidence issues
.504
.280
.727
.968
1.265
0.394
4.060
0.693
.596
.307
.886
.400
1.265
0.394
4.060
0.693
TS9 Complex Risk of Violence
.686
.539
.833
.038
3.324
1.154
9.576
0.026
.644
.455
.832
.208
2.464
0.691
8.781
0.164
TS10 Institutional behaviour
.793
.645
.940
.001
2.665
1.158
6.134
0.021
.787
.662
.912
.012
2.665
1.158
6.134
0.021
TS11 Legal process
.454
.272
.636
.610
2.757
1.427
5.324
0.003
.438
.203
.672
.584
0.479
0.084
2.723
0.407
 
DUNDRUM-3 programme completion
PC1 Physical health
.692
.522
.861
.033
2.078
1.066
4.050
0.032
.617
.383
.850
.307
1.529
0.717
3.258
0.272
PC2 Mental health
.803
.697
.909
.001
4.898
1.646
14.576
0.004
.801
.672
.931
.008
5.175
1.192
22.467
0.028
PC3 Drugs and Alcohol
.771
.619
.923
.002
2.469
1.252
4.871
0.009
.663
.442
.885
.152
1.566
0.808
3.033
0.184
PC4 Problem behaviours
.662
.536
.787
.072
2.041
1.004
4.148
0.049
.677
.525
.830
.120
2.212
0.821
5.958
0.116
PC5 Self-care and activities of daily living
.752
.618
.886
.005
2.978
1.378
6.437
0.006
.705
.502
.909
.072
2.203
0.934
5.197
0.071
PC6 Education, Occupation and Creativity
.817
.682
.951
.000
3.708
1.733
7.936
0.001
.775
.637
.913
.016
2.588
1.145
5.849
0.022
PC7 Family and Social Networks
.698
.544
.852
.027
1.906
1.073
3.386
0.028
.620
.402
.837
.293
1.456
0.750
2.827
0.267
 
DUNDRUM-4 recovery
RC1 Stability
.765
.642
.889
.003
2.493
1.263
4.923
0.008
.760
.619
.902
.022
2.627
1.034
6.674
0.042
RC2 Insight
.649
.511
.788
.096
1.614
0.921
2.828
0.095
.622
.464
.779
.287
1.456
0.728
2.913
0.289
RC3 Rapport and Working Alliance
.676
.535
.817
.050
2.053
1.014
4.157
0.046
.670
.527
.813
.136
2.075
0.832
5.180
0.118
RC4 Leave
.623
.481
.765
.170
1.600
0.890
2.876
0.117
.594
.398
.789
.412
1.406
0.690
2.863
0.348
RC5 HCR-20 Dynamic Items
.671
.539
.803
.057
3.891
0.736
20.571
0.110
.695
.546
.845
.087
1.109
1.029
1.198
0.043
RC6 Victim Sensitivity Issues .657 .478 .835 .081 1.500 0.886 2.540 0.132 .695 .461 .928 .088 1.666 0.804 3.451 0.170