Table 8.
HCR-20 items related to outcomes
| |
Harm to others 13/98 |
Harm to self 7/98 |
||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |
AUC |
95% CI |
p |
OR |
95% CI |
p |
AUC |
95% CI |
p |
OR |
95% CI |
p |
||||
| lower | upper | lower | upper | lower | upper | lower | upper | |||||||||
| H1 Previous violence |
.467 |
.291 |
.643 |
.705 |
0.140 |
0.008 |
2.381 |
0.174 |
.434 |
.193 |
.675 |
.561 |
0.065 |
0.004 |
1.176 |
0.064 |
| H2 Young age at first violent incident |
.627 |
.459 |
.796 |
.140 |
2.238 |
0.820 |
6.105 |
0.116 |
.730 |
.552 |
.909 |
.043 |
5.510 |
1.096 |
27.704 |
0.038 |
| H3 Relationship instability |
.648 |
.511 |
.785 |
.086 |
3.536 |
0.901 |
13.872 |
0.070 |
.644 |
.467 |
.820 |
.207 |
5.510 |
1.096 |
27.704 |
0.038 |
| H4 Employment problems |
.758 |
.649 |
.867 |
.003 |
11.005 |
1.529 |
79.186 |
0.017 |
.713 |
.558 |
.867 |
.061 |
5.350 |
0.769 |
37.219 |
0.090 |
| H5 Substance misuse problems |
.666 |
.525 |
.807 |
.055 |
3.278 |
0.909 |
11.827 |
0.070 |
.613 |
.406 |
.820 |
.321 |
1.856 |
0.520 |
6.632 |
0.341 |
| H6 Major mental illness |
.436 |
.257 |
.616 |
.461 |
0.472 |
0.112 |
1.826 |
0.277 |
.446 |
.209 |
.683 |
.636 |
0.547 |
0.101 |
2.970 |
0.485 |
| H7 psychopathy |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| H8 Early maladjustment |
.714 |
.576 |
.852 |
.013 |
3.769 |
1.216 |
11.683 |
0.022 |
.686 |
.484 |
.887 |
.102 |
2.858 |
0.734 |
11.131 |
0.130 |
| H9 Personality disorder |
.643 |
.464 |
.822 |
.098 |
2.529 |
1.090 |
5.855 |
0.030 |
.711 |
.482 |
.940 |
.063 |
3.731 |
1.226 |
11.358 |
0.020 |
| H10 Prior supervision failure |
.705 |
.581 |
.829 |
.017 |
4.787 |
1.211 |
18.929 |
0.026 |
.635 |
.458 |
.812 |
.235 |
2.461 |
0.632 |
9.578 |
0.194 |
| C1 Lack of insight |
.666 |
.515 |
.816 |
.055 |
2.737 |
0.960 |
7.804 |
0.060 |
.716 |
.559 |
.872 |
.058 |
5.793 |
0.792 |
42.383 |
0.084 |
| C2 Negative attitudes |
.772 |
.639 |
.905 |
.002 |
3.492 |
1.632 |
7.468 |
0.001 |
.752 |
.581 |
.923 |
.027 |
2.990 |
1.145 |
7.812 |
0.025 |
| C3 Active symptoms of major mental illness |
.650 |
.491 |
.810 |
.081 |
1.946 |
0.953 |
3.976 |
0.068 |
.701 |
.513 |
.889 |
.077 |
2.618 |
0.898 |
7.633 |
0.078 |
| C4 Impulsivity |
.744 |
.566 |
.921 |
.005 |
4.393 |
2.046 |
9.425 |
0.001 |
.700 |
.458 |
.943 |
.078 |
3.192 |
1.280 |
7.962 |
0.013 |
| C5 Unresponsiveness to treatment |
.745 |
.588 |
.902 |
.005 |
3.888 |
1.534 |
9.851 |
0.004 |
.791 |
.594 |
.988 |
.010 |
6.145 |
1.403 |
26.920 |
0.016 |
| R1 Plans lack feasibility |
.687 |
.534 |
.840 |
.030 |
2.284 |
1.122 |
4.650 |
0.023 |
.666 |
.498 |
.834 |
.145 |
1.876 |
0.757 |
4.646 |
0.174 |
| R2 Exposure to destabilisers |
.662 |
.491 |
.833 |
.060 |
3.061 |
1.169 |
8.017 |
0.023 |
.678 |
.450 |
.906 |
.117 |
3.477 |
1.070 |
11.301 |
0.038 |
| R3 Lack of personal support |
.647 |
.492 |
.802 |
.088 |
2.095 |
0.885 |
4.960 |
0.093 |
.560 |
.353 |
.767 |
.598 |
1.239 |
0.383 |
4.008 |
0.721 |
| R4 Non-compliance with remediation attempts |
.760 |
.610 |
.909 |
.003 |
4.537 |
1.873 |
10.992 |
0.001 |
.711 |
.499 |
.923 |
.063 |
3.206 |
1.126 |
9.134 |
0.029 |
| R5 Stress | .740 | .595 | .886 | .005 | 4.798 | 1.725 | 13.347 | 0.003 | .735 | .515 | .955 | .039 | 4.686 | 1.266 | 17.344 | 0.021 |
Note that item H7 ‘psychopathy’ was omitted.