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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Epidemiology. 2008 Nov;19(6):766–779. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e3181875e61

Table 3.

Estimates of the intention-to-treat effect of initiation of estrogen/progestin therapy on the incidence of CHD events in the NHS “trials”

Follow-up Period
All 0–24 mo >24 mo
Initiators
 Total no. 7,258 7,258 7,221
 No. CHD events 98 22 76
Noninitiators
 Total no. 141,002 141,002 139,599
 No. CHD events 3,606 512 3,094

HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)

All women 0.96 (0.78 – 1.18) 1.42 (0.92 – 2.20) 0.88 (0.69 – 1.12)
By time after menopause (years)
 < 10 0.84 (0.61 – 1.14) 1.33 (0.66 – 2.64) 0.77 (0.54 – 1.09)
 ≥10 1.12 (0.84 – 1.48) 1.48 (0.83 – 2.64) 1.05 (0.77 – 1.43)
  P for interaction 0.08 0.90 0.07
By age (years)
 < 60 0.86 (0.65 – 1.14) 1.36 (0.73 – 2.52) 0.78 (0.57 – 1.07)
 ≥60 1.15 (0.85 – 1.57) 1.49 (0.79 – 2.80) 1.08 (0.76 – 1.54)
  P for interaction 0.05 0.72 0.06

Adjusted for the following baseline variables: age, parental history of myocardial infarction before age 60, education, husband’s education, ethnicity, age at menopause, calendar month, high cholesterol, high blood pressure, diabetes, angina, stroke, coronary revascularization, osteoporosis, body mass index, cigarette smoking, aspirin use, alcohol intake, physical activity, diet score, multivitamin use, fruits and vegetables intake, and previous use of hormone therapy. The last column is restricted to women who were not censored by the first 2 years of follow-up of the corresponding trial.