Figure 2. Comparison of model predictions to Zimbabwe antenatal clinic data for non-urban areas [17].

The solid line represents the yearly HIV prevalence as estimated by our model from baseline epidemiological parameters (dotted lines are the 2.5^th and 97.5^th percentile values). Empirical HIV prevalence is shown as stars (error bars are the 95% confidence intervals). The model was validated from antenatal clinic data not originally used for model parameterization.