Table 5.
Discrete-time multinomial logit model of urban-rural or urban-urban moves (vs. no move in a given year)
Covariate | Urban-Rural Move
|
Urban-Urban Move
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | Robust SE | Coefficient | Robust SE | |
Agea | −0.0423** | 0.0154 | −0.0216 | 0.0190 |
Age Squareda | 0.0004 | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0003 |
Female | −0.0612 | 0.1344 | 0.1780 | 0.1178 |
Marriedb | −0.0461 | 0.1111 | 0.1107 | 0.0981 |
Children Ever Bornb | 0.0391 | 0.0474 | −0.0318 | 0.0405 |
No Educationb | 0.2211 | 0.2110 | 0.0055 | 0.1796 |
Primary Educationb | 0.3366* | 0.1415 | 0.1253 | 0.1223 |
Secondary + Educationb (ref.) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Total Number of Movesa | 0.5138*** | 0.0456 | 0.3605*** | 0.0347 |
Pre-1976a (ref.) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Post-Soweto (1976–1985)a | 0.9611*** | 0.2235 | 1.0126** | 0.3118 |
Post–Pass Laws (1986–1993)a | 1.5917*** | 0.2258 | 1.8482*** | 0.3158 |
Post-Election (1994–2000)a | 1.7991*** | 0.2392 | 2.0652*** | 0.3201 |
Northern, Eastern, or Western Capea | −0.5348** | 0.1655 | 0.7139*** | 0.1645 |
KwaZulu-Natala | −0.5423*** | 0.1528 | 0.5584*** | 0.1588 |
Gauteng or Free Statea | 0.2729 | 0.1399 | 0.7596*** | 0.1655 |
Other Provincesa,c (ref.) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Constant | −4.1311*** | 0.3114 | −5.3136*** | 0.3942 |
Person-Years (N) | 20,435 | |||
Wald Chi-Square | 438.83 (28) | |||
Pseudo-R2 | .1002 | |||
Log Pseudo-Likelihood | −5,686.41 |
Lagged by one year.
Current status, measured in 2000.
Reference category includes Northern (Limpopo), Mpumalanga, and North-West provinces, and countries other than South Africa.
p < .05;
p < .01;
p < .001