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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 5.
Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2013 Feb;50(1):71–95. doi: 10.1007/s13524-012-0140-x

Table 5.

Discrete-time multinomial logit model of urban-rural or urban-urban moves (vs. no move in a given year)

Covariate Urban-Rural Move
Urban-Urban Move
Coefficient Robust SE Coefficient Robust SE
Agea −0.0423** 0.0154 −0.0216 0.0190
Age Squareda 0.0004 0.0002 0.0002 0.0003
Female −0.0612 0.1344 0.1780 0.1178
Marriedb −0.0461 0.1111 0.1107 0.0981
Children Ever Bornb 0.0391 0.0474 −0.0318 0.0405
No Educationb 0.2211 0.2110 0.0055 0.1796
Primary Educationb 0.3366* 0.1415 0.1253 0.1223
Secondary + Educationb (ref.) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Total Number of Movesa 0.5138*** 0.0456 0.3605*** 0.0347
Pre-1976a (ref.) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Post-Soweto (1976–1985)a 0.9611*** 0.2235 1.0126** 0.3118
Post–Pass Laws (1986–1993)a 1.5917*** 0.2258 1.8482*** 0.3158
Post-Election (1994–2000)a 1.7991*** 0.2392 2.0652*** 0.3201
Northern, Eastern, or Western Capea −0.5348** 0.1655 0.7139*** 0.1645
KwaZulu-Natala −0.5423*** 0.1528 0.5584*** 0.1588
Gauteng or Free Statea 0.2729 0.1399 0.7596*** 0.1655
Other Provincesa,c (ref.) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Constant −4.1311*** 0.3114 −5.3136*** 0.3942
Person-Years (N) 20,435
Wald Chi-Square 438.83 (28)
Pseudo-R2 .1002
Log Pseudo-Likelihood −5,686.41
a

Lagged by one year.

b

Current status, measured in 2000.

c

Reference category includes Northern (Limpopo), Mpumalanga, and North-West provinces, and countries other than South Africa.

*

p < .05;

**

p < .01;

***

p < .001