Table 2.
Variables | Single variable | Final model | Full model | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | 95% CI | Coef. | 95% CI | Coef. | 95% CI | |||
Intercept | −3.48 * | −4.05 to −2.91 | −3.93 * | −4.6 to −3.25 | ||||
Weather | ||||||||
Monthly mean temperature | 0.25 * | 0.22 to 0.26 | 0.22 * | 0.2 to 0.25 | 0.22 * | 0.19 to 0.25 | ||
1 month lagged temperature | 0.08 * | 0.07 to 0.1 | 0.07 * | 0.05 to 0.09 | 0.06 * | 0.04 to 0.09 | ||
Winter mean temperature | −0.04 * | −0.06 to −0.01 | −0.03 * | −0.06 to −0.01 | ||||
Monthly mean degree days | 0.28 * | 0.23 to 0.33 | 0.032 | −0.04 to 0.1 | ||||
Monthly total precipitation | −0.003 * | −0.004 to −0.001 | 0.0033 * | 0.002 to 0.005 | 0.0032 * | 0.002 to 0.005 | ||
1 month lagged precipitation | 0.006 * | 0.005 to 0.007 | 0.0042 * | 0.003 to 0.005 | 0.0037 * | 0.002 to 0.004 | ||
2 month lagged precipitation | 0.005 * | 0.004 to 0.006 | 0.0033 * | 0.002 to 0.004 | 0.003 * | 0.002 to 0.005 | ||
Land cover 1 | ||||||||
Forest | −0.48 * | −0.91 to −0.04 | −0.54 * | −0.9 to −0.17 | −0.59 * | −0.95 to −0.22 | ||
Water | −0.11 * | −0.47 to −0.26 | 0.03 | −0.28 to 0.34 |
Coef.: estimated variable coefficient; * P < 0.05; 1 agriculture land was used as a reference group.