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. 2009 Feb 2;11(4):443–450. doi: 10.1038/aja.2008.36

Table 4. Cox proportional hazards analysis of various clinical and pathological characteristics and PSA kinetic parameters in predicting OS.

    Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
P-value HR (95% CI) P-value HR (95% CI)
Age at diagnosis ≤ 70 vs. > 70 0.269 0.61 (0.25–1.47)    
Initial PSA ≤ 100 vs. > 100 0.567 1.27 (0.56–2.88)    
T stage T1+T2 vs. T3+T4 0.394 1.74 (0.49–6.25)    
N stage N0 vs. N1 0.220 1.96 (0.67–5.76)    
M stage M0 vs. M1 0.149 2.47 (0.72–8.40)    
Biopsy Gleason score < 8 vs. ≥ 8 0.072 2.62 (0.92–7.48)    
Castration method LH-RHa vs. surgical 0.526 0.73 (0.27–1.95)    
PSAVd ≤ 20 vs. > 20 0.980 1.01 (0.42–2.44)    
PSAHL ≤ 0.5 vs. > 0.5 0.026 3.10 (1.15–8.37) 0.026 3.41 (1.16–10.06)
Nadir PSA ≤ 0.4 vs. > 0.4 0.041 8.06 (1.09–59.8) 0.024 10.20 (1.37–76.17)
First PSA at HRPC ≤ 10 vs. > 10 0.229 1.65 (0.73–3.72)    
Chemotherapy Docetaxel vs. mitoxantrone 0.092 0.48 (0.20–1.13)    
PSAV ≤ 5.0 vs. > 5.0 0.143 1.52 (0.81–3.73)    
PSADT ≤ 2.0 vs. > 2.0 0.001 5.70 (2.01–15.56) < 0.001 8.12 (2.73–24.16)

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; HRPC, hormone-refractory prostate cancer; LH-RHa, luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonist; OS: overall survival; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; PSADT, prostate specific antigen doubling time; PSAHL, prostate-specific antigen half-life during the first hormonal therapy; PSAV, prostate-specific antigen increasing velocity; PSAVd, prostate-specific antigen decreasing velocity during the first hormonal therapy.

Long PSAHL (> 0.5 months), high nadir PSA (> 0.4 ng mL−1) and short PSADT (≤ 2.0 months) were positively correlated with short OS, P < 0.05.