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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 7.
Published in final edited form as: Serv Sci. 2012 Mar;4(1):69–78. doi: 10.1287/serv.1120.0006

Table 1.

Illustrative Milestone Probabilities and Career Durations

Milestone Probability Years
1 P1 = 0.9* Y1 = 2
2 P2 = 0.74 Y2 = 4
3 P3 = 0.62 Y3 = 7
4 P4 = 0.95* Y4 = 20
5 P5 = 1 Y5 = 35