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. 2013 Aug 8;7(8):e2334. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002334

Table 1. Multivariable estimate of JE risk ratio for vaccine coverage year, controlling for seasonal periodicity using Poisson regression.

Variables RR/β (95% CI of RR) Std. Error p-valuea
Vaccine year (Jul 01–Dec 06) at 2-month lag 0.391b (0.273, 0.560) 0.1838 <0.001
Non-vaccine year (Apr 97–Jun 01) at 2-month lag 1c . .
cos12 −0.288d 0.1420 0.043
cos6 −0.190d 0.1313 0.148
sin12 −0.500d 0.1297 <0.001
sin6 0.391d 0.1313 0.003
Intercept 0.398d 0.1142 <0.001

RR = risk ratio;

a

Based on Wald chi-square test;

b

Risk Ratio;

c

Reference.

d

β-value.

Akaike information criterion = 317.398, Adjusted Pseudo-R2 = 0.278. cos12 and sin12 models annual periodicity; cos6 and sin6 models biannual periodicity. Pseudo- R2 is based on 1 minus the deviance ratio between the full model vs. the Intercept only model adjusting for the number of explanatory terms in a model (1 – (Full model DEV/Intercept only model DEV) * ((n-1)/(n-k-1))), where n is the sample size and k is the number of explanatory terms.