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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Osteoporos Int. 2012 Feb 17;24(1):163–177. doi: 10.1007/s00198-012-1936-7

Table 6.

Calculation of weight threshold at which bone densitometry becomes cost-effective for men

Age (years) Age- and sex-specific prevalence low BMD (%) Cost-effective pre-test probability of low BMD (%) Age- and sex-specific odds low BMD Threshold odds low BMD Change in log [Odds] Odds low BMD per 10 kg increase in weight (log [Odds]) Weight change from mean to reach threshold


Odds Log (Odds) Odds Log (Odds)
55 2.03 15.2 0.0207 −3.878 0.1789 −1.721 2.158 0.40 (−0.916) −23.8
60 2.77 8.87 0.0285 −3.558 0.0855 −2.460 1.228 0.40 (−0.916) −12.1
65 4.65 4.46 0.0487 −3.021 0.0467 −3.063 −0.042 0.44 (−0.821) 0.5
70 7.23 2.68 0.0780 −2.551 0.0275 −3.592 −1.041 0.44 (−0.821) 12.5
75 8.38 2.44 0.0915 −2.392 0.0250 −3.687 −1.296 0.44 (−0.821) 15.6
80 10.74 1.30 0.1203 −2.118 0.0215 −4.327 −2.118 0.44 (−0.821) 26.6