Fig. 3.

The proportion of men surviving by age when diagnosed at age 20 (a), and age 40 (b). The scenarios represented include: the male general population in Australia (blue); ii) PLHIV, with unlimited class-stages available (red); iii) PLHIV, 5 class-stages available (number of class-stages currently available in 2012) (green); iv) PLHIV, no cART available (orange). The heavy lines indicate the median of the scenarios under the varying parameter values. The colour shaded areas indicate the range of the median 95% of simulations which results from the varying parameter values and stochasticity of the model. The greyed area indicates the region in which we are uncertain of the suitability of mortality rates in the older population of PLHIV.