. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Aug 1.

Published in final edited form as: J Clin Epidemiol. 2013 Aug;66(8 0):S130–S137. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2013.02.015

Table 4.

The average Pr(T=t_max) for each T ∈ {fPHT, LVT, VPA} based on 1,000 simulations per scenario and the proportion of trials in which Pr(T=tmax) ≥ 0.975, which indicates that a best therapy has been clearly identified.

	Average t_max			Proportion Pr(t_max) > 0.975
Scenario	fPHT	LEV	VPA	fPHT	LEV	VPA
Null 0.50 – 0.50 – 0.50	0.34	0.34	0.32	0.004	0.005	0.004
One Good 0.50 – 0.50 – 0.65	0.001	0.004	*0.995*	0.00	0.00	*0.89*

Two Good 0.50 – 0.65 – 0.65	0.007	*0.48*	*0.51*	0.00	*0.06*	*0.05*
One Middle One Good 0.50 – 0.575 – 0.65	0.003	0.04	*0.95*	0.00	0.002	*0.50*

All Bad 0.25 – 0.25 – 0.25	0.30	0.34	0.36	0.003	0009	0.005
All Really Bad 0.10 – 0.10 – 0.10	0.30	0.35	0.34	0.002	0.001	0.003