Table 2. Univariate and multivariable effect size estimates of the larviciding intervention on malaria prevalence in Dar es Salaam, 2004–2008 (N = 64,537).
Univariate | Multivariable | |||
OR* | 95% CrI† | OR* | 95% CrI† | |
Larviciding intervention | 0.79 | 0.66–0.93 | 0.79 | 0.66–0.93 |
Age | ||||
Under five years of age | - | - | 1.00 | - |
≥5 and <15 years of age | - | - | 0.82 | (0.76–0.90) |
≥15 and <30 years of age | - | - | 0.67 | (0.61–0.73) |
≥30 and <45 years of age | - | - | 0.60 | (0.54–0.66) |
≥45 and <60 years of age | - | - | 0.55 | (0.48–0.63) |
≥60 years of age | - | - | 0.47 | (0.40–0.56) |
Male sex | - | - | 1.08 | (1.01–1.15) |
Slept outside ward (previous 2 weeks) | - | - | 0.90 | (0.77–1.04) |
Treated for malaria (previous round) | - | - | 0.65 | (0.56–0.75) |
Took malaria drug (previous 2 weeks) | - | - | 1.02 | (0.90–1.16) |
ITN used the night before | - | - | 0.93 | (0.86–0.99) |
House has closed ceiling | - | - | 0.93 | (0.85–1.01) |
House has window screens | - | - | 0.90 | (0.83–0.98) |
Trend for time (AR1 § ) | Yes | Yes | ||
Semi-parametric smooth for rainfall | Yes | Yes | ||
Random effects (TCU & Household) | Yes | Yes |
Statistically significant results are bolded.
OR = Odds Ratio.
CrI = Credible Intervals.
AR1 = First Order Autoregressive Process.