Table 3. Example of a targetable framework of modifiable determinants for high risk adult mortality areas using a multivariable Poisson ecological approach and including population attributable fractions, South Africa, 2007.
Factors | Unadjusted RR(95% CI) | Adjusted RR(95% CI) | Prevalence ofexposure | PAFi(95% CI) |
Individual: Male gender | 1.13 (1.07,1.19) | 1.13 (1.07,1.19) | 0.52 | 0.06 (0.04,0.09) |
Individual: Not in a formal unionii | 1.28 (1.16,1.41) | 1.40 (1.26,1.56) | 0.62 | 0.20 (0.14,0.26) |
Individual/Household: Low socio-economic statusiii | 1.43 (0.97,2.12) | 1.70 (1.15,2.51) | 0.39 | 0.21 (0.06,0.37) |
Household: No basic household serviceiv | 2.05 (1.27,3.29) | 3.19 (1.59,6.39) | 0.01 | 0.03 (0.01,0.07) |
Local municipality: metropolitan area | 0.56 (0.06,5.07) | – | – | – |
District: Antenatal HIV sero-prevalence > = 30 percent | 2.63 (1.28,5.42) | 3.98 (1.38,11.45) | 0.42 | 0.56 (0.14,0.81) |
population attributable fraction.
never married, separated, divorced or widowed.
based on individual level education status, monthly income and household assets (e.g. fridge, radio etc).
no water service, sanitation and refuse disposal.