Table 2.
Actual and predicted mortality-to-incidence ratio values of gastrointestinal cancers in California
| Cancer | Incidence(ASR, per100000) | Mortality(ASR, per100000) | Actual MIR | Predicted MIR(95%PI)1 | ΔMIR |
| All gastrointestinal | 74.3 | 39.6 | 0.533 | 0.560 ± 0.118 | -0.027 |
| Esophageal | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.895 | 0.803 ± 0.148 | 0.091 |
| Stomach | 7.4 | 4.3 | 0.581 | 0.653 ± 0.158 | -0.072 |
| Pancreatic | 11.3 | 10.3 | 0.912 | 0.918 ± 0.104 | -0.006 |
| Liver | 8.4 | 6.8 | 0.810 | 0.807 ± 0.101 | 0.002 |
| Colorectal | 43.4 | 14.8 | 0.341 | 0.416 ± 0.173 | -0.075 |
1
MIR values were predicted using California’s human development index (HDI) (0.907) and the best-fit regression models. ΔMIR = actual MIR-predicted MIR. ASR: Age-standardized rate; MIR: Age-standardized mortality-to-incidence ratio; PI: Prediction interval.