Table 3.

Parameter estimates for systolic and diastolic blood pressure from ARMA [1, 1] models in participants in the Fels Longitudinal Study, southwestern Ohio, 1929–2010. Information for the SBP and DBP are in separate sections.

Systolic Blood Pressure			Diastolic Blood Pressure
Males
Effect	Estimate	S.E.	p-value	Estimate	S.E.	p-value
Intercept	108.54	0.66	<0.0001	72.9	0.6	<0.0001
(Age-40) year	0.33	0.01	<0.0001	0.23	0.01	<0.0001
(Age-40)2	0.01	0	<0.0001	−0.01	0	<0.0001
(BMI-20) kg/m2	1.24	0.08	<0.0001	0.87	0.07	<0.0001
(BMI-20)2	−0.01	0	0.0109	−0.01	0	0.1123
(Height-150) (cm)	0.16	0.01	<0.0001	−0.04	0.01	0.0005
BPMeds	−3.35	1.29	0.0093	−3.23	1.28	0.0116
Covariance Parameter Estimates
Covariance Parameter	Estimate	S.E.	p-value	Estimate	S.E.	p-value
Rho (ρ)	0.95	0.01	<0.0001	0.87	0.01	<0.0001
Gamma (γ)	0.63	0.01	<0.0001	0.47	0.01	<0.0001
Residual (σ2)	150.77	5.23	<0.0001	108.9	2.42	<0.0001
Females
Effect	Estimate	S.E.	p-value	Estimate	S.E.	p-value
Intercept	104.44	0.53	<0.0001	67	0.47	<0.0001
(Age-40) year	0.49	0.01	<0.0001	0.19	0.01	<0.0001
(Age-40)2	0.01	0	<0.0001	−0.01	0	0.0461
(BMI-20) kg/m2	0.98	0.05	<0.0001	0.76	0.04	<0.0001
(BMI-20)2	−0.01	0	<0.0001	−0.01	0	<.0001
(Height-150) (cm)	0.13	0.01	<0.0001	−0.01	0.01	0.2472
BPMeds	−3.67	1.02	0.0003	−2.33	0.96	0.0151
Covariance Parameter Estimates
Covariance Parameters	Estimate	S.E.	p-value	Estimate	S.E.	p-value
Rho (ρ)	0.94	0.01	<0.0001	0.89	0.01	<0.0001
Gamma (γ)	0.62	0.01	<0.0001	0.52	0.01	<0.0001
Residual (σ2)	147.86	4.65	<0.0001	107.7	2.54	<0.0001