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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 27.
Published in final edited form as: Open J Pediatr. 2013 Jun;3(2):116–126. doi: 10.4236/ojped.2013.32022

Table 4.

Predictive value of systolic and diastolic blood pressure at age 15 for risk of elevated BP (SBP > 130; DBP > 85 mmHg) at age 35 in participants in the Fels Longitudinal Study. Southwestern Ohio, 1929–2010.

DBP at age 15 Probability that DBP > 85 at 35 RR relative to BP = 60 at Age 15

Males Females RR Male RR Females

60 0.21 0.06 1.00 1.00
65 0.22 0.07 1.05 1.11
70 0.23 0.08 1.10 1.23
75 0.24 0.08 1.15 1.35
80 0.25 0.09 1.20 1.49
85 0.27 0.10 1.25 1.63
90 0.28 0.11 1.30 1.79

SBP at age 15 Probability that SBP > 130 at 35 RR relative to BP = 90 at Age 15

Males Females RR Male RR Female

90 0.08 0.01 1.00 1.00
95 0.10 0.02 1.35 1.39
100 0.14 0.03 1.78 1.89
105 0.18 0.04 2.30 2.55
110 0.22 0.05 2.90 3.38
115 0.28 0.06 3.58 4.40
120 0.33 0.08 4.33 5.66
125 0.40 0.10 5.14 7.17
130 0.46 0.13 5.99 8.96
135 0.53 0.16 6.84 11.03
140 0.59 0.19 7.69 13.38