Table 4.
Predictive value of systolic and diastolic blood pressure at age 15 for risk of elevated BP (SBP > 130; DBP > 85 mmHg) at age 35 in participants in the Fels Longitudinal Study. Southwestern Ohio, 1929–2010.
| DBP at age 15 | Probability that DBP > 85 at 35 | RR relative to BP = 60 at Age 15 | ||
|
| ||||
| Males | Females | RR Male | RR Females | |
|
| ||||
| 60 | 0.21 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 65 | 0.22 | 0.07 | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| 70 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| 75 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| 80 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 1.20 | 1.49 |
| 85 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| 90 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 1.30 | 1.79 |
|
| ||||
| SBP at age 15 | Probability that SBP > 130 at 35 | RR relative to BP = 90 at Age 15 | ||
|
| ||||
| Males | Females | RR Male | RR Female | |
|
| ||||
| 90 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 95 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| 100 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 1.78 | 1.89 |
| 105 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 2.30 | 2.55 |
| 110 | 0.22 | 0.05 | 2.90 | 3.38 |
| 115 | 0.28 | 0.06 | 3.58 | 4.40 |
| 120 | 0.33 | 0.08 | 4.33 | 5.66 |
| 125 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 5.14 | 7.17 |
| 130 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 5.99 | 8.96 |
| 135 | 0.53 | 0.16 | 6.84 | 11.03 |
| 140 | 0.59 | 0.19 | 7.69 | 13.38 |