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. 2013 Aug 17;14(3):1255–1266. doi: 10.1208/s12249-013-0018-2

Table III.

Comparison of Simulated (SIM) vs. Observed (OBS) Mean Plasma PK Parameters of NVS123 in Humans

Parameters F1 (Arm 1) F1 (Arm 2) F2 F3
OBS SIM OBS SIM OBS SIM OBS SIM
Dose (mg)
 Fasted 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
 Fed
C max (ratio)
 Fed vs. fasted 1.76 2.03 1.72 2.05 1.38 1.53 1.38 1.66
 FE of predictiona 1.16 1.19 1.11 1.21
AUC0–inf (ratio)
 Fed vs. Fasted 1.57 1.84 1.58 1.84 1.33 1.51 1.37 1.57
 FE of predictiona 1.17 1.17 1.13 1.15
t max (ratio)
 Fed vs. fasted 1.50 1.91 1.50 1.80 1.25 2.25 1.50 2.06
 FE of predictiona 1.27 1.20 1.80 1.38
F a (%)
 Fasted N/A 34.7 N/A 34.7 N/A 43.9 N/A 38.5
 Fed N/A 64.0 N/A 64.0 N/A 65.7 N/A 59.9
F (%)
 Fasted N/A 32.1 N/A 32.3 N/A 40.5 N/A 35.9
 Fed N/A 59.2 N/A 59.7 N/A 60.7 N/A 55.8
Precipitation time (s)b
 Fasted N/A 1,000 N/A 1,000 N/A 1,800 N/A 1,500
 Fed N/A 3,500 N/A 3,500 N/A 3,000 N/A 3,000
Correlation coefficient (R 2)c
 Fasted N/A 0.95 N/A 0.93 N/A 0.97 N/A 0.96
 Fed N/A 0.93 N/A 0.91 N/A 0.93 N/A 0.92
Root mean squared prediction error (RMSE)d
 Fasted N/A 28.3 N/A 32.8 N/A 30.4 N/A 28.2
 Fed N/A 81.3 N/A 71.8 N/A 81.4 N/A 84.5

aFold error (FE) of the prediction. FE=10LogPredictedObserved

bPrecipitation time (T p) in the human model was assumed to be similar to that in the dog model because of relatively similar intestinal pH and bile salt concentration. This assumption was verified by comparison of simulated and observed PK profiles (Fig. 3) and parameters (Table III)

cCorrelation coefficient between the observed concentration and simulated values

dRoot mean squared prediction error (RMSE) of plasma concentration. RMSE = SIMOBS2/N where N is the number of observed data points