Table 2.
Joinpoint regression analysis of pancreatic cancer mortality in Serbia, excluding the Autonomous Province of Kosovo and Metohia, by sex and age, from 1991-2010
| Average age-specific rate | ||
|---|---|---|
| Age* | rate (per 100 000) | average annual percent change (95% confidence interval [CI]) |
| Men |
||
| 40-44 |
3.15 |
+ 0.4 (-3.1 to 4.0) |
| 45-49 |
6.26 |
+ 0.9 (-0.9 to 2.8) |
| 50-54 |
13.03 |
- 0.3 (-1.3 to 0.8) |
| 55-59 |
23.36 |
+ 2.6‡ (1.4 to 3.8) |
| 60-64 |
30.39 |
+ 2.1‡ (0.7 to 3.4) |
| 65-69† |
43.00 |
+ 2.6‡ (1.1 to 4.2) |
| 70-74 |
55.71 |
+ 1.0 (-0.1 to 2.2) |
| 75-79 |
60.62 |
+ 1.6‡ (0.7 to 2.6) |
| 80-84 |
72.15 |
+ 1.0 (-1.2 to 3.1) |
| 85+ |
55.37 |
+ 2.6‡ (0.6 to 4.7) |
| All men |
+ 1.6‡ (1.1 to 2.0) |
|
| Women |
||
| 40-44 |
1.51 |
- 2.0 (-6.1 to 2.3) |
| 45-49 |
3.34 |
+ 1.0 (-2.0 to 4.0) |
| 50-54 |
6.85 |
+ 2.9‡ (0.8 to 5.0) |
| 55-59 |
11.22 |
+ 2.4‡ (0.9 to 3.8) |
| 60-64 |
18.95 |
+ 1.9‡ (0.8 to 3.0) |
| 65-69 |
26.43 |
+ 1.5‡ (0.4 to 2.5) |
| 70-74 |
37.39 |
+ 2.5‡ (1.7 to 3.3) |
| 75-79§ |
46.07 |
+ 3.0‡ (1.0 to 5.0) |
| 80-84 |
51.88 |
+ 3.1‡ (1.4 to 4.8) |
| 85+ |
44.83 |
+ 4.3‡ (2.6 to 5.9) |
| All women | + 2.2‡ (1.7 to 2.7) | |
*Joinpoint results are not shown for the age subgroups <40, because there were fewer than 5 cases in any year.
†Trend 1 (1991-2004): annual percent change (APC) (95% CI) = +0.9 (-0.4 to 2.2); Trend 2 (2004-2010): APC (95% CI) = +6.6‡ (2.2 to 11.2).
‡Joinpoint is significantly different from zero at alpha = 0.05.
§Trend 1 (1991-2000): APC (95% CI) = -0.3 (-3.4 to 3.0); Trend 2 (2000-2010): APC (95% CI) = 5.9‡ (3.1 to 8.9).