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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2013 Aug;50(4):1303–1314. doi: 10.1007/s13524-012-0187-8

Table 2.

Cumulative conditional probabilities (p) of making transitions in living arrangements between birth and age 15 for children born into two-parent homes (95 % confidence intervals (CI) in parentheses)

By Age 15, Cumulative Probability of:
(1) Father Staying in Household Continuously (2) Father Migrating in Mexico (3) Father Migrating to the United States
N p (95 % CI) p (95 % CI) p (95 % CI)
All Children 11,110 0.66 (0.62–0.70) 0.12 (0.09–0.14) 0.06 (0.04–0.08)
Among Children Living With Mothers:
Mother’s education: Primary or less 5,899 0.57 (0.51–0.63) 0.18 (0.13–0.23) 0.07 (0.04–0.09)
Mother’s education: Secondary or more 3,976 0.77 (0.71–0.82) 0.05 (0.02–0.08) 0.05 (0.02–0.08)
Region of birth: Rural 3,294 0.66 (0.61–0.71) 0.14 (0.10–0.18) 0.09 (0.06–0.12)
Region of birth: Urban 6,917 0.68 (0.61–0.75) 0.05 (0.03–0.08) 0.02 (0.01–0.03)

Notes: Estimates are generated with increment-decrement life tables using single-year age-specific transition rates calculated with all children (N) and initiated with children born into two-parent homes. At birth, 82.3 % of children are born with both parents in the household, 4 % with a father migrating domestically, and 4.5 % with a father migrating internationally. Confidence intervals are calculated from standard deviations of 1,000 bootstrapped sample estimates.

Source: Mexican Family Life Survey.