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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Dec 25.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Cardiol. 2012 Nov 21;60(25):2653–2661. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2012.08.1010

Table 4b. Prognostic Utility of 6MWD vs. CPX Indices in Predicting All-Cause Mortality.

Model Parameter Chi Squire
statistic
P value Hazard Ratio*
( 95% confidence interval)
C-Index
(95% confidence interval)
IDI
Unadjusted
Univariate
predictors
6MWD 94 <.0001 0.61 (0.55, 0.67) 0.65 (0.62, 0.68)
Peak VO2 123 <.0001 0.48 (0.42, 0.55) 0.68 (0.65, 0.71)
VE/Vco2
Slope
130 <.0001 1.58 (1.46, 1.71) 0.65 (0.61, 0.68)
Adjusted** 6MWD 55 <.0001 0.65 (0.57, 0.73) 0.72 (0.69, 0.75) 0.005
Peak VO2 77 <.0001 0.51 (0.44, 0.59) 0.73 (0.71, 0.76) 0.010
VE/VCO2
Slope
45 <.0001 1.37 (1.25, 1.51) 0.71 (0.68, 0.74) 0.004

6MWD-6 minute walk distance; VO2-oxygen consumption; VE/VCO2-minute ventilation-carbon dioxide production; IDI-Integrated Discrimination Improvement

*

Hazard Ratio based on Z score

**

--All-Cause Hospitalization/Mortality Model adjusted for Gender, Region (US vs. Non-US), Mitral Regurgitation, ECG Ventricular Conduction Abnormality, Blood Urea Nitrogen (BUN), Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (LVEF), Carvedilol Equivalent Dose, and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Symptom Stability Score --All-Cause Mortality Model adjusted for Gender, BMI, Loop Diuretic Dose, Angina Class, ECG Ventricular Conduction Abnormality, LVEF, and Creatinine

***

--6MWD (normalized) is truncated at 1 standard deviation in the model of Hospitalization/Mortality because of its lack of relationship with this endpoint beyond that point. Truncation in this case implies that the Hazard Ratio for values of 6MWD>1 is set to 1.

--Other truncated covariates are carvedilol equivalent dose-truncated above 50 mg/day; BMI-body mass index-truncated above 25 kg/m2; Cr-truncated above 2.3 mg/dl.

****

IDI Model includes N=2013 patients with non-missing values for 6MW, Peak VO2, and VE/VCO2