Table 4b. Prognostic Utility of 6MWD vs. CPX Indices in Predicting All-Cause Mortality.
Model | Parameter | Chi Squire statistic |
P value | Hazard Ratio* ( 95% confidence interval) |
C-Index (95% confidence interval) |
IDI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted Univariate predictors |
6MWD | 94 | <.0001 | 0.61 (0.55, 0.67) | 0.65 (0.62, 0.68) | |
Peak VO2 | 123 | <.0001 | 0.48 (0.42, 0.55) | 0.68 (0.65, 0.71) | ||
VE/Vco2 Slope |
130 | <.0001 | 1.58 (1.46, 1.71) | 0.65 (0.61, 0.68) | ||
Adjusted** | 6MWD | 55 | <.0001 | 0.65 (0.57, 0.73) | 0.72 (0.69, 0.75) | 0.005 |
Peak VO2 | 77 | <.0001 | 0.51 (0.44, 0.59) | 0.73 (0.71, 0.76) | 0.010 | |
VE/VCO2 Slope |
45 | <.0001 | 1.37 (1.25, 1.51) | 0.71 (0.68, 0.74) | 0.004 |
6MWD-6 minute walk distance; VO2-oxygen consumption; VE/VCO2-minute ventilation-carbon dioxide production; IDI-Integrated Discrimination Improvement
Hazard Ratio based on Z score
--All-Cause Hospitalization/Mortality Model adjusted for Gender, Region (US vs. Non-US), Mitral Regurgitation, ECG Ventricular Conduction Abnormality, Blood Urea Nitrogen (BUN), Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (LVEF), Carvedilol Equivalent Dose, and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Symptom Stability Score --All-Cause Mortality Model adjusted for Gender, BMI, Loop Diuretic Dose, Angina Class, ECG Ventricular Conduction Abnormality, LVEF, and Creatinine
--6MWD (normalized) is truncated at 1 standard deviation in the model of Hospitalization/Mortality because of its lack of relationship with this endpoint beyond that point. Truncation in this case implies that the Hazard Ratio for values of 6MWD>1 is set to 1.
--Other truncated covariates are carvedilol equivalent dose-truncated above 50 mg/day; BMI-body mass index-truncated above 25 kg/m2; Cr-truncated above 2.3 mg/dl.
IDI Model includes N=2013 patients with non-missing values for 6MW, Peak VO2, and VE/VCO2