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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Sep 12.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Stat. 2011;39(6):3234–3261. doi: 10.1214/11-AOS937

Table 2.

Simulation results to evaluate the operating characteristics of a study to evaluate the predictive accuracy of DCP using a fixed-sample design and group sequential designs with two, three or four stopping times. Presented are the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis and expected sample size under the null and alternative hypotheses. 10000 simulations were performed for each scenario.

Stopping Times NPV (0.6) = 0.90 NPV (0.6) = 0.95 NPV (0.6) = 0.90 NPV (0.6) = 0.95
PPV (0.9) = 0.80 PPV (0.9) = 0.80 PPV (0.9) = 0.90 PPV (0.9) = 0.90
P(reject) E(nD) P(reject) E (nD) P(reject) 0.026 E(nD) P(reject) E(nD)
J = 1 0.003 702 0.03 702 0.026 702 0.917 702
J = 2 0.004 432 0.026 492.4 0.024 489.5 0.924 624.5
J = 3 0.004 367.4 0.022 431.3 0.023 433 0.917 580.1
J = 4 0.002 340 0.023 410.7 0.024 417.2 0.911 571.1