Table 1.
Parameter values with sources.
| Parameter | Ages | Value | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basic reproductive ratio (ℛ0) | 1.4 | [3, 4, 12, 16, 20] | |
| [31, 34, 35, 36, 42] | |||
| Overall vaccination coverage | |||
| for Nov 1 peak | 20.5%*] | [8] | |
| for Dec 1 peak | 30.1% | By assumption | |
| for Jan 1 peak | 41.0% | By assumption | |
| for Feb 1 peak | 41.0% | By assumption | |
| Latent period | all | 3 days | [22] |
| Infectious period | all | 4 days | [22] |
| Proportion of infections that become symptomatic (p) | all | 0.67 | [14, 17, 25, 44] |
| Population distribution | 0–4 | 0.0691 | |
| (Nk(0)/N (0)) | 5–19 | 0.2027 | |
| 20–44 | 0.3437 | ||
| 45–64 | 0.2567 | ||
| 65+ | 0.1278 | ||
| Proportion of population who are at high risk (ξk) | 0–4 | 7.61% | [27] |
| 5–19 | 12.38% | ||
| 20–44 | 19.88% | ||
| 45–64 | 30.41% | ||
| 65+ | 50.15% | ||
| Proportion of population who have remote H1N1 immunity (χk) | 0–4 | 0.00% | [24] |
| 5–19 | 0.00% | ||
| 20–44 | 7.50% | ||
| 45–64 | 7.50% | ||
| 65+ | 33.00% | ||
| Case fatality ratio (dk) | 0–4 | 0.026% | [32] |
| 5–19 | 0.030% | ||
| 20–44 | 0.159% | ||
| 45–64 | 0.159% | ||
| 65+ | 0.090% | ||
| Case hospitalization ratio (hk) | 0–4 | 2.45% | [32] |
| 5–19 | 0.93% | ||
| 20–44 | 3.00% | ||
| 45–64 | 3.00% | ||
| 65+ | 1.84% | ||
| Vaccine efficacy against infection (δk) | 0–4 | 75.9% | [19] |
| 5–19 | 75.9% | ||
| 20–44 | 75.9% | ||
| 45–64 | 68.5% | ||
| 65+ | 66.1% | ||
| Vaccine efficacy against death (κk) | 0–4 | 75% | [28] |
| 5–19 | 75% | ||
| 20–44 | 70% | ||
| 45–64 | 70% | ||
| 65+ | 60% | ||
Age-specific vaccination coverage is shown in Table 2.