Table 3. Posterior means (post. mean) for Fixed and Random effects estimates with corresponding 95% credible intervals (CI) from the spatial negative binomial hurdle model of adult mortality.
Variable | Bernoulli | Negative binomial | ||
Post. Mean | Post. 95% CI | Post. Mean | Post. 95% CI | |
Fixed effects | ||||
Constant | −4.73 | (−5.44, −4.22) | −4.45 | (−5.02, −3.91) |
Urban | −0.23 | (−0.54, 0.08) | −0.35 | (−0.66, −0.07) |
Rural | 0 | 0 | ||
Hospital | 0.21 | (−0.06, 0.61) | 0.09 | (−0.20, 0.41) |
Clinic | 0.29 | (−0.01, 0.61) | 0.15 | (−0.11, 0.42) |
Health centre | 0 | 0 | ||
Walk | 0.05 | (−0.14, 0.31) | 0.16 | (−0.05, 0.35) |
Public transport | 0.17 | (−0.06, 0.38) | 0.23 | (0.02, 0.43) |
Car/motorcycle | 0 | 0 | ||
Female head | 0.48 | (0.38, 0.59) | 0.33 | (0.23, 0.42) |
Male head | 0 | 0 | ||
Female member | 0.005 | (−0.08, 0.16) | 0.02 | (−0.07, 0.09) |
Male member | 0 | 0 | ||
Married | −0.48 | (−0.64, −0.32) | −0.37 | (−0.54, −0.21) |
Not married | −0.21 | (−0.38, −0.04) | −0.14 | (−0.30, 0.02) |
Other (married) | 0 | 0 | ||
Poorest | 0.95 | (0.60, 1.28) | 0.75 | (0.47, 1.09) |
Poor | 0.81 | (0.46, 1.11) | 0.75 | (0.47, 1.05) |
Medium | 0.98 | (0.67, 1.26) | 0.83 | (0.58, 1.12) |
Rich | 0.78 | (0.54, 1.04) | 0.73 | (0.51, 0.99) |
Richest | 0 | 0 | ||
Time to facility (Min) | 0.33 | (−0.17, 0.90) | 0.29 | (−0.17, 0.79) |
Time to facility (Hr) | 0.65 | (0.14, 1.27) | 0.62 | (0.18, 1.12) |
Time to facility (Day) | 0 | 0 | ||
No education | −0.001 | (−0.19, 0.16) | −0.03 | (−0.19, 0.08) |
Primary education | 0.18 | (0.06, 0.31) | 0.12 | (0.01, 0.23) |
Secondary and higher education | 0 | 0 | ||
Random effects | ||||
Spatial structured | ||||
(Σ11,Σ22) | 0.13 | (0.002, 0.58) | 0.44 | (0.06, 1.58) |
(Σ12) | 0.88 | (0.59, 1.31) | - | |
Spatial unstructured | ||||
(Ω11, Ω22) | 1.69 | (1.25, 2.04) | 1.77 | (1.40, 2.20) |
(Ω33) | 0.34 | (0.21, 0.59) | - |