Table 2. Accuracy of Responses to Probability of Survival.

	Survival to Age 60		Survival to Age 75
Variables	Coefficient	Std. error	Coefficient	Std. error
	(1)		(2)
Panel A. Limited Specificationa
Heavy drinker	0.066	0.102	−0.035	0.031
Binge drinker	0.053*	0.026	0.020	0.016
Heavy binge drinker	0.029	0.028	0.035	0.019
Intercept	−0.043	0.023	0.138**	0.011
R2	0.013		0.007
Number of observations	371		907
Panel B. Full Specification
Heavy drinker	0.038	0.101	−0.054	0.029
Binge drinker	0.070**	0.026	0.028	0.016
Heavy binge drinker	0.042	0.031	0.008	0.019
CAGE = 1	0.008	0.024	0.005	0.017
CAGE = 2	−0.006	0.025	−0.010	0.018
CAGE = 3/4	0.003	0.027	0.067**	0.021
Female	−0.001	0.019	−0.040**	0.014
Age	0.006**	0.002	0.004**	0.001
Black	−0.010	0.029	0.015	0.022
Hispanic	−0.013	0.051	−0.081	0.050
Other race	−0.020	0.047	−0.048	0.045
Currently married	−0.023	0.024	−0.046**	0.014
Edu. attainment (yrs.)	0.002	0.006	−0.004	0.004
Self-rated health = very good	0.026	0.022	0.040*	0.017
Self-rated health = good	0.085**	0.027	0.094**	0.020
Self-rated health = fair	0.101*	0.043	0.086**	0.030
Self-rated health = poor	0.212**	0.074	0.244**	0.051
Recall	−0.006	0.011	−0.021*	0.009
Serial-7 subtraction	−0.005	0.011	−0.008	0.008
Numeracy	0.025	0.013	0.005	0.010
Memory = very good / good	−0.027	0.024	−0.047*	0.019
Memory = fair / poor	−0.126**	0.035	−0.133**	0.027
Intercept	−0.248*	0.120	0.222*	0.097
R2	0.116		0.139
Number of observations	371		907

^aOther drinker is the omitted reference group.

^**p<0.01,

^*p<0.05