Table 5. Accuracy of Responses to Legal Consequences of DWI: Conviction and Fines.

	Probability of Conviction if Arrested		Probability of Fine if Convicted		Fine amount $
Variables
	Coefficient	Std. error	Coefficient	Std. error	Coefficient	Std. error
	(1)		(2)		(3)
Panel A. Limited Specificationa
Heavy drinker	0.060	0.046	−0.031	0.063	−100	94.8
Binge drinker	0.073**	0.022	0.028	0.03	57.8	45.8
Heavy binge drinker	0.15**	0.025	0.022	0.034	85.1	52.5
Intercept	0.017	0.017	0.227**	0.022	223**	34.3
R2 (Pseudo R2 for probit)	0.022		0.001		0.004
Number of observations	1,315		1,311		1,285
Panel B. Full Specificationb
Heavy drinker	0.081	0.044	−0.008	0.025	−8.12	92.8
Binge drinker	0.053*	0.023	0.026*	0.013	25.6	48.2
Heavy binge drinker	0.10**	0.027	0.032*	0.015	67.8	56.8
CAGE = 1	0.032	0.023	−0.002	0.013	16.0	49.3
CAGE = 2	0.033	0.025	0.017	0.014	48.8	52.7
CAGE = 3/4	0.063*	0.028	0.011	0.016	43.6	58.5
Female	−0.077**	0.019	−0.030**	0.011	−3.10	40.0
Age	0.001	0.001	0.001	0.000	−3.35*	1.70
Black	−0.054	0.030	−0.051**	0.017	−149*	64.0
Hispanic	−0.079	0.061	0.012	0.035	55.6	127
Other race	0.052	0.053	−0.057	0.031	86.6	113
Currently married	−0.033	0.019	−0.003	0.011	27.8	41.4
Edu. attainment (yrs.)	−0.013**	0.005	−0.001	0.003	−9.22	10.7
Recall	0.003	0.012	−0.003	0.007	−17.4	24.9
Serial-7 subtraction	0.001	0.011	0.018**	0.006	20.1	23.0
Numeracy	0.006	0.013	0.010	0.008	2.00	28.2
Memory = very good / good	0.021	0.025	−0.017	0.014	1.83	52.3
Memory = fair / poor	−0.001	0.034	−0.022	0.020	2.84	73.6
Prior DWI arrestc	0.14*	0.061	0.045	0.035	61.4	128
Intercept	0.25*	0.12	−0.19**	0.07	661	259
R2 (Pseudo R2 for probit)	0.169		0.847		0.091
Number of observations	1,303		1,299		1,274

^aOther drinker is the omitted reference group.

^bLocation binary variables (all 8 cities in the sample, with Raleigh being omitted reference group) are included in regression but not shown.

^cDWI conviction within past 3 years

^**p<0.01,

^*p<0.05