Table 6. Accuracy of Responses to Legal Consequences of DWI: Jail.

	Probability of Jail if Convicted		Probability of Jail if Convicted		Jail Time (Days)
	Arrest Data		Attorney Survey
Variables	Coefficient	Std.error	Coefficient	Std. error	Coefficient	Std. error
	(1)		(2)		(3)
Panel A. Limited Specificationa
Heavy drinker	0.032	0.073	−0.094	0.055	−5.00	21.9
Binge drinker	0.091**	0.035	0.027	0.026	−8.97	10.4
Heavy binge drinker	0.090*	0.04	0.049	0.030	−5.64	11.9
Intercept	−0.33**	0.026	0.005	0.020	33.0**	7.78
R2 (Pseudo R2 for probit)	0.006		0.006		0.001
Number of observations	1,302		1,302		1,300
Panel B. Full Specificationb
Heavy drinker	−0.004	0.038	−0.004	0.037	−5.76	22.3
Binge drinker	0.014	0.019	0.014	0.019	−9.47	11.2
Heavy binge drinker	0.019	0.022	0.019	0.023	−6.75	13.1
CAGE = 1	0.044*	0.020	0.044*	0.020	−8.69	11.6
CAGE = 2	0.026	0.021	0.026	0.021	7.96	12.3
CAGE = 3/4	0.062**	0.023	0.062**	0.023	−5.99	13.8
Female	−0.010	0.016	−0.010	0.016	0.98	9.4
Age	−0.000	0.001	−0.000	0.001	0.60	0.4
Black	0.025	0.026	0.025	0.026	16.4	15.1
Hispanic	0.017	0.051	0.017	0.051	84.2**	30.0
Other race	−0.029	0.045	−0.029	0.045	46.4	26.6
Currently married	−0.049**	0.016	−0.049**	0.016	−11.7	9.7
Edu. attainment (yrs.)	−0.011*	0.004	−0.011*	0.004	−2.51	2.5
Recall	−0.016	0.010	−0.016	0.010	−5.87	5.8
Serial-7 subtraction	−0.016	0.009	−0.016	0.009	8.44	5.4
Numeracy	−0.012	0.011	−0.012	0.011	−12.5	6.6
Memory = very good / good	0.006	0.021	0.006	0.021	11.7	12.3
Memory = fair / poor	−0.008	0.029	−0.008	0.029	−8.93	17.2
Prior DWI arrestc	0.094	0.051	0.094	0.051	−20.8	30.2
Intercept	−0.377**	0.10	0.56**	0.10	71	60.7
R2 (Pseudo R2 for probit)	0.752		0.57		0.048
Number of observations	1,290		1,290		1,289

^aOther drinker is the omitted reference group.

^bLocation binary variables (all 8 cities in the sample, with Raleigh being omitted reference group) are included in regression but not shown.

^cDWI conviction within past 3 years

^**p<0.01,

^*p<0.05