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. 2013 Jul 4;178(6):890–897. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwt073

Table 3.

Risk of Basal-Cell Carcinoma According to Quintile of Cumulative UV-B Flux Exposure in Age- and Multivariate-adjusted Analyses, Nurses' Health Study (1986–2006) and Health Professionals' Follow-up Study (1988–2006)

Quintile of UV-B
Flux Exposure
Median Value
(Robertson-Berger
Count × 104)a
No. of
Cases
Person-
Years
Age-adjusted
Multivariate-adjustedb
RR 95% CI RR 95% CI
Nurses' Health Study
1 164 2,292 347,649 1.00 Referent 1.00 Referent
2 360 2,501 333,887 1.65 1.47, 1.84 1.63 1.45, 1.82
3 600 2,806 332,183 2.23 1.93, 2.58 2.19 1.89, 2.53
4 843 3,675 339,472 2.92 2.48, 3.43 2.84 2.41, 3.33
5 1,130 4,395 316,500 3.29 2.79, 3.88 3.18 2.70, 3.76
Ptrend <0.0001 <0.0001
Health Professionals' Follow-Up Study
1 154 1,107 131,104 1.00 Referent 1.00 Referent
2 350 1,286 131,938 1.30 1.13, 1.49 1.28 1.12, 1.47
3 565 1,721 132,572 1.68 1.42, 1.98 1.63 1.38, 1.93
4 791 1,960 126,775 1.91 1.60, 2.29 1.85 1.54, 2.21
5 1,080 2,163 128,548 1.99 1.65, 2.40 1.90 1.57, 2.29
Ptrend <0.0001 <0.0001
Pooled Analysis
1 3,399 478,753 1.00 Referent 1.00 Referent
2 3,787 465,825 1.47 1.16, 1.85 1.45 1.15, 1.83
3 4,527 464,755 1.94 1.47, 2.57 1.90 1.42, 2.53
4 5,635 466,247 2.37 1.56, 3.58 2.29 1.51, 3.49
5 6,558 445,048 2.56 1.56, 4.19 2.46 1.48, 4.09
Ptrend <0.0001 <0.0001
P for heterogeneityc 0.004 0.002

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; RR, relative risk; UV-B, ultraviolet B.

a Median cumulative midrange UV-B flux exposure for each quintile.

b Multivariate analysis controlled for age, family history of melanoma, natural hair color, number of moles on an extremity, susceptibility to sunburn as a child/adolescent, lifetime number of severe/blistering sunburns, and cumulative UV-B flux exposure.

c P value from a test of heterogeneity between studies.