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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Liver Transpl. 2013 Aug 13;19(9):987–990. doi: 10.1002/lt.23683

Table 1.

Surgeon predictions of 3-year risk of graft failure, compared to estimates from the literature. Estimates are systematically low, particularly for the higher risk scenario.

Scenario Response (median) Estimate from literature P-value
1: 30 year old local white donor, brain death from trauma, average risk recipient 15% 21% P<0.001
2: 64 year old regional black donor, brain death from stroke, average risk recipient 20% 40% P<0.001